Is USD/JPY Going to Reverse and Continue the Long Term Downtrend?

USD/JPY failed at the 100 SMA again last week, and has started to resume the decline

Skerdian Meta•Monday, January 18, 2021•1 min read

The USD/JPY has been trading on a bearish trend since March, after the roller-coaster ride when the coronavirus came to Europe. The price continues to make new lows, as sellers push this pair down, and in total it has lost around 11 cents from the top in March to the bottom.

Most of this move has come from the decline in the USD, since the USD index, the DXY, has declined around 14 points during the same period, and the downtrend looks quite similar. Although, during January, we saw a retrace higher in this pair.

But, the retrace might be coming to an end soon, as the picture in the daily chart shows. During this decline, the 100 SMA (green) has been acting as the ultimate resistance, while the 50 SMA (green) has also helped. Last week the USD/JPY found resistance at the 100 SMA and started to reverse lower. So, it seems like the bearish trend has begun to resume again, and we will probably go short on this pair at some point.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.