EUR/USD Continues to Move Higher, Despite a Second Recession in the Eurozone

[[EUR/USD-sponsored]]

EUR/USD tried to turn bearish in Q1 of this year, after being quite bullish since last March, as the USD kept declining.  This pair reached 1.2350s at the top in early January, while at the bottom the price fell to 1.17 lows.

Although, the USD decline resumed again in April and this pair reversed back up. During the decline moving averages were doing a great job as support on the H4 chart, while now they have turned into support, with the price bouncing off the 100 SMA (green) last Friday.

Today, the Q1 GDP report was released from the Eurozone, with expectations of a 0.6% contraction, after the contraction in Q4 of last year. So, the Eurozone fell in recession again for the second time in less than a year, but EUR/USD continues to move higher nonetheless. Below is the GDP reading for Q1 of 2021.

Latest data released by Eurostat – 18 May 2021

  • Q1 GDP second estimate -0.6% vs -0.6% prelim
  • Q4 of 2021 GDP was -0.6%
  • GDP YoY -1.8% vs -1.8% prelim

This is similar to the initial estimates so there isn’t much to gather from the release above. The fact is that the continent was in another recession in the last two quarters, but that’s history now, since we are in the middle of Q2, which looks quite good as the economy reopens.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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