Dramatic Dip in Gold – Ready for Sell Limit?

During Monday's Asian trading session, the safe-haven-metal price recovered some of its early-day losses. However, it remains depressed in l

Gold - XAU/USD Chart

During Monday’s Asian trading session, the price of the safe-haven metal, gold, recovered some of its early-day losses. However, it remained depressed around the lows of late June, after the biggest drop in eight weeks. The GOLD prices plunged below $1,700 for the first time in the last five months, amid a splendid recovery in the US dollar.

The greenback rose sharply following the upbeat US labor report, which showed a rise in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), to 943K, beating the market expectations of an 870K increase by far. The gains in the greenback were further bolstered by the chatter surrounding the Fed’s tapering and infrastructure spending talks in the Senate. The upticks in the US dollar were seen as one of the key factors that kept the gold prices under pressure.

 

XAU/USD

Apart from this, the upbeat economic data from China and the US also raised hopes over economic recovery, which decreased the safe-haven market demand and weakened the GOLD prices further. In addition to the upbeat data from the US, the COVID updates from Australia and progress over the US stimulus package also favored the market trading mood, and this was seen as another factor that undermined the gold prices. The yellow metal is trading at 1,738.97, and consolidating in the range between 1,688.13 and 1,764.65.

Upbeat Economic Data & US Senate Updates

The market trading sentiment extended its positive early-day performance and remained well bid on the day, as the upbeat economic data from the US and China raised hopes regarding economic recovery and contributed to the improved market trading sentiment.

A Bullish US Dollar Keeping Gold Bearish

Alternatively, the mounting coronavirus figures from Japan keep challenging the market trading mood, which may support the safe-haven gold prices. As per the latest report, the number of cases of the Delta strain in Tokyo have risen, with 4,066 new cases recorded on Sunday, which was the last day of the Summer Olympics – this was the fifth consecutive day with over 4,000 new cases.

Looking forward, the market traders will keep their eyes on the US economic docket, which highlights FOMC Member Bostic’s speech, which is up for publishing today. Meanwhile, virus updates and stimulus news will also be crucial to follow.

Gold - XAU/USD Chart

Daily Support and Resistance

S3 1,687.84
S2 1,731.19
S1 1,747.01
Pivot Point: 1,774.54
R1 1,790.36
R2 1,817.89
R3 1,861.24On Monday, the precious metal, GOLD, plunged dramatically in early trading, sinking to the 1,743 level. On the daily timeframe, the precious metal has placed a triple bottom level at 1,679. This triple bottom level has triggered a sudden bullish reversal in gold.

Currently, gold’s immediate resistance remains at the 1,757 level, marking a 50% Fibonacci retracement level. A bullish crossover at this level could lead the gold price towards the next resistance level of 1,774 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level).

Conversely, the support holds at a 38.2% Fibonacci level of 1,737. A bearish crossover at this level could lead the GOLD price further down, towards the 1,716 support level. A bearish bias dominates below the 1,757 level today. Good luck!

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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