Gold Violates Symmetrical Triangle at $1,788 – All Eyes on Jackson Hole Symposium

During Tuesday's Asian trading session, the yellow metal price failed to extend its overnight gaining streak. It took some fresh offers

Gold - XAU/USD Chart

During Tuesday’s Asian trading session, the gold price failed to extend its overnight gaining streak. It took some fresh offers around the $1,800 level, as global stocks rose on Tuesday, which undermined the safe-haven appeal of the yellow metal.

The bullish bias in the market trading sentiment appeared after the US Food & Drug Administration (FDA) approved the Moderna-BioNTech vaccine. In the meantime, easing worries about an imminent tapering of stimulus measures by the Federal Reserve also boosted the market trading mood. The upbeat market sentiment tends to undermine the safe-haven demand, thereby contributing to the losses in GOLD.

Apart from this, another reason for the declines in gold could be associated with the stronger US dollar. The American currency remained higher after reports that the FDA had granted full permission for the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine against COVID-19. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback’s performance against its six major rivals, recovered from lower levels, amid higher US benchmark Treasury Yields. On the other hand, the emergency call by the UK for a video conference of the Group of Seven (G7) leaders, to discuss Taliban-related issues, keeps probing the risk-on market sentiment.

 

XAU/USD
Meanwhile, the upticks in the market trading sentiment were also capped by the faster spread of the coronavirus Delta variant. This may support the bullion prices, limiting more profound losses for the precious metal. Gold is currently trading at 1,800.78, and consolidating in the range between 1,800.83 and 1,806.03

Vaccine Optimism:

Despite the faster spread of the Delta variant of the COVID-19 virus, coupled with mounting tension between the US and China, the market trading sentiment managed to uphold its positive performance, remaining well bid in Asia on Tuesday morning. This was witnessed after the S&P 500 Futures marked intraday gains of 0.17%, rising to 4,483. Furthermore, the US 10-year Treasury Yields seesawed around 1.26% at the time of writing. It is worth recalling that the S&P 500 refreshed its record top with Nasdaq during Monday’s North American trading. However, this could be associated with the latest optimism over the coronavirus vaccines. As per the latest report, the US Food & Drug Administration (FDA) has approved the Moderna-BioNTech vaccine.

Meanwhile, the UK showed its willingness to order 35.00 million doses of Pfizer vaccine for booster shots. On the flip side, the preliminary figures for the US PMIs for August appeared softer than expected, suggesting the need for further easy-money policies. Before that, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan warned that he might step back on his tapering calls, due to the rapid spread of the Delta variant. Anyhow, the positive tone in the global equity markets undermined the safe-haven appeal of the yellow metal.

Bullish US Dollar

Despite the upbeat market trading sentiment, the broad-based US dollar managed to maintain its early-day upward streak and remained well bid on the day, amid higher US benchmark Treasury Yields. The broad-based greenback remained higher after reports that the FDA had granted full permission for the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine. Furthermore, the gains were bolstered after the Chinese crackdown on technology shares and hints that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will increase difficulties for the listing of Beijing-based companies. This gave further support to the safe-haven dollar.

Coronavirus Spread Worldwide & Mixed US Data

The faster spread of the Delta virus variant keeps challenging the risk-on mood in the market. In turn, this has become a key factor that is helping to limit the losses in the gold price. Moreover, the latest US economic data released on Monday was mixed. Existing home sales were at a higher-than-expected 5.99 million in July. However, August’s manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI), Markit composite PMI and services PMI were 61.2, 55.4, and 55.2, respectively. This data had a negative impact on the market trading sentiment, which may be considered beneficial for safe-haven gold prices.

Looking forward, market traders will keep their eyes on the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium, which is due to take place from Aug. 26 to Aug. 28. The central bank is expected to give clues about its next steps regarding asset tapering and interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 situation, Chinese tensions and the Afghanistan matter will also be essential to watch.

Gold – XAU/USD – Technical Outlook – Pivot Point to Support at $1,781.75

After testing the resistance mark at 1,806, gold is trading with a positive bias at the 1,802 level. The pivot point resistance mark of 1,796 was violated in the 4-hour timeframe, exposing gold prices to the next resistance level of 1,806.
Gold - XAU/USD Chart

Daily Support and Resistance

S3 1,754.4
S2 1,776.6
S1 1,791.07
Pivot Point: 1,798.8
R1 1,813.27
R2 1,821
R3 1,843.2The GOLD price might be exposed to the 1,815 level if the 1,806 resistance level is broken, and then the subsequent resistance level will be around the 1,825 level. In contrast, support is seen around the 1,796 level; a break below this might expose the XAU/USD pair to levels of 1,785 and 1,776. The RSI value is still in negative territory. As a result, a breakout at 1,806 could spur more buying in gold.

Good luck!
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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