Market Watch: Economic Events and Factors Affecting Gold on March 2, 2023
As the European session opens on a lackluster Thursday, the gold price (XAU/USD) hovers around its intraday low of $1,831.
Arslan Butt•Thursday, March 2, 2023•2 min read

As the European session opens on a lackluster Thursday, the GOLD price (XAU/USD) hovers around its intraday low of $1,831. This is because the US dollar is stronger, and the market is less willing to take risks, backed up by the performance of the precious metal. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has risen 0.17% during the day to 104.60, returning from a one-week low. This is because greenback bulls follow the rising trend of US Treasury bond yields and the negative attitude during aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) meetings.
The rise in US Treasury bond yields, which has recently tested the bulls on Wall Street and weighed on S&P 500 futures, is the market’s response to concerns about the hawkish stance of the Fed and the friction between the US and China. Encouraging data from the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for February and articles from the New York Times (NYT) imply the possible tension between the US and China.
Meanwhile, the G20 conference is also gaining significant attention, with policymakers at the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank possibly joining the hawkish Minneapolis Federal Reserve (Fed) President Neel Kashkari.
However, GOLD buyers remain optimistic due to recent increases in Chinese activity indicators and positive comments from policymakers. According to China’s Human Resources Ministry, employment in China will continue to improve this year and remain stable generally.
On Wednesday, Chinese Finance Minister Liu He expressed his willingness to increase fiscal spending while acknowledging that the foundation of China’s economic recovery is still shaky. Going forward, XAU/USD traders will monitor G20 information, central bankers’ comments, and US secondary data to determine the future direction of the GOLD price.

Gold Technical Outlook
Yesterday, the GOLD price closed positively above the level of $1,828.70, which could signal the start of a bullish wave on an intraday basis. However, today the price opened negatively and is putting pressure on the aforementioned level, which has now become a key support line. The price is currently affected by stochastic negativity, which is evident.
Therefore, there is a contradiction between the technical factors, and it may be best to remain on the sidelines until a clearer signal for the next trend emerges. Breaking the level of $1,828.70 will reactivate the correctional bearish scenario and push the price towards the next main target of $1,788.20. On the other hand, consolidating above $1,828.70 and breaching $1,840.00 will lead the price to achieve new gains and visit $1,878.80 on a near-term basis.
The expected trading range for today is between the support level of $1,815.00 and the resistance level of $1,850.00.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.
His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.
His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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