Important Economic Events Ahead As GBP/USD Heads for May’s Highs

GBP/USD made some impressive gains last week as the USD weakened, but there many factors this week which will induce high volatility


The British Pound is ending the week on a positive note, showing significant gains against other major currencies. GBP/JPY and EUR/GBP have all experienced upward movements. While these currencies have been slightly weak overall, the British Pound was stronger throughout the week, with GBP/USD closing with solid gains. This is partly due to the weakness in the USD after a soft jobless report, as well as from the growing expectations that the Bank of England may pursue more aggressive policy tightening in the coming months.

However, it is worth noting that UK inflation is projected to decrease in the upcoming months, which could potentially make current market predictions of additional 100 basis points (bps) of interest rate hikes in the UK appear overly optimistic.

On Friday, GBP/USD reached a new high since the second week of May, reaching almost 1.26. However, it subsequently retraced to 1.2570s following the release of a Canadian jobs report that was weaker than expected. This further solidified expectations that the Federal Reserve may choose to skip the rate hike in this week’s meeting and the expectations are that the FED pauses on Wednesday.

The economic data and events calendar for this week is packed with the high potential to impact the markets and the GBP in particular. The employment and GDP releases from the UK, the consumer inflation (CPI) and producer inflation (PPI) from the US before the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, and the ECB meeting which is expected to produce another 25 basis points rate hike. This suggests that GBP/USD could experience increased volatility. Traders and investors should pay close attention to these events as they have the potential to influence market dynamics and exchange rates.

GBP/USD Live Chart

GBP/USD
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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