- ECB leaves key interest rates unchanged in October monetary policy meeting
- Prior refinancing rates were 4.50%
- Deposit facility rate 4.00% vs 4.00% expected
- Prior deposit facility rate was 4.00%
- Marginal lending facility 4.75%
- Prior marginal lending facility 4.75%
- Incoming information has broadly confirmed previous assessment of medium-term inflation outlook
- Inflation is still expected to stay too high for too long
- Past interest rate increases continue to be transmitted forcefully into financing conditions
- This is increasingly dampening demand and thereby helps push down inflation
- Key interest rates re at levels that, maintained for a sufficiently long duration, will make a substantial contribution to ensure that inflation returns to its 2% medium-term target in a timely manner
- Future decisions will ensure that policy rates will be set at sufficiently restrictive levels for as long as necessary
- To continue data-dependent approach to determining the appropriate level and duration of restriction
- Full statement
EUR/USD Headed for New 2023 Lows After ECB Holds Rates at 4.50%
Since reversing downward in July, the EUR/USD has continued to remain bearish, with attempts to reverse the trend failing., The last attempt took place last week, but buyers failed to reach 1.07 and the price reversed at the 50 SMA (yellow) early this week. So, moving averages have helped as well providing resistance.
The 20 SMA (gray) and 50 SMA (yellow) on the daily chart, in particular, continue to push the highs lower, showing that selling pressure continues to be strong. The rise in US Treasury rates, as well as strong US data indicating a healthy economy, have kept the USD optimistic, while the Eurozone economy has been declining.
Yesterday the European Central Bank held its monthly meeting, leaving the refinancing rate unchanged at 4.50%, while president Christine Lagarde sounded pessimistic about the economy. She said that rate hikes are increasingly dampening demand. So, everything is pointing down for the Euro and there is nothing to save it for now, which means that EUR/USD will fall below 1.05 and below this year’s low as well.
ECB Monetary Policy Decision – 26 October 2023
EUR/USD Live Chart
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