Argentina: Wholesale prices advanced by 18% in January, remaining below the inflation rate.
Argentina: Wholesale prices advanced by 18% in January, remaining below the inflation rate.
The overall level of the Wholesale Price Index (IPIM) recorded an increase of 18% in January 2024 compared to the previous month.
The overall level of the Wholesale Price Index of Argentina recorded an 18% increase in January, but decelerated sharply compared to December when it marked an unprecedented 54% monthly rise following the devaluation of the official dollar. It is worth noting that January’s measurement was below the inflation rate, which stood at 20.6% last month.
Breaking it down, the 18% increase in the IPIM was driven by a 19.6% rise in domestic products and a 5.1% increase in imported products. On the other hand, the overall level of the Basic Internal Wholesale Price Index (IPIB) showed a 16.6% rise in the same period (within which there was an 8% increase in domestic products and a 5% increase in imported products).
Within the index, it is worth noting that, amidst a context of greater stability in the official exchange rate, wholesale prices of imported products rose by only 5.1% monthly in January (compared to an 80.6% monthly increase in December), marking the smallest increment since June 2022.
What happened in December was a characteristic trend in wholesale prices in response to devaluations. Looking ahead to February, retail inflation will continue to decline and could be around 15% monthly, with a more pronounced deceleration in core inflation due to recent adjustments in various regulated sectors.
However, this will be a transitory deceleration, as March inflation could be higher than that of February due to seasonal factors: March typically sees significant increases in categories such as Education due to the change in the academic year and Clothing due to the change of season. Additionally, the latest agreements in wage negotiations, which include increases of 20-25% monthly, will add pressure to service inflation.
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