Crude Oil Heads Toward $70 As EIA Inventory Jumps, ME Tensions Lower

 Crude Oil jumped above $72 yesterday on comments of an attack on Iran, but have turned lower today as Blinken tries to ease tensions.   

EIA crude Oil inventories showed another buildup

Crude Oil jumped above $72 yesterday on comments of an attack on Iran, but have turned lower today as Blinken tries to ease tensions. Today we ale got the EIA crude inventories, which showed a major buildup, although yesterday’s private API crude Oil inventories also showed an increase, so this wasn’t a major surprise, however it is weighing on Oil prices.

EIA crude Oil inventories showed a considerable buildup
EIA crude Oil inventories showed a considerable buildup

Middle Eastern tensions initially caused oil prices to spike earlier this month, but they have since fallen due to concerns over the global economy. Gold (XAU) briefly hit a record high of $2,758 today before reversing lower. Similarly, crude oil also dropped, with the large EIA inventory buildup contributing to the bearish reversal.

US WTI Chart Daily – Consolidating in A Tight Range

The market remains unconvinced by China’s stimulus measures to address its economic slowdown, while the European Central Bank (ECB) has painted a bleak picture of the Eurozone economy. This has bolstered safe-haven assets like gold. Following reports of higher-than-expected U.S. stockpiles from the EIA today and the American Petroleum Institute (API) yesterday, crude oil has reversed gains from its previous two-day rally.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has advised Israel to avoid escalating the conflict with Iran in the Middle East, mentioning a potential hostage deal. While crude oil briefly returned above $70 per barrel, the underlying issues of a fragile global economy and an oversupply of oil remain the key drivers. If future EIA inventory reports continue to show larger-than-expected buildups, oil prices could face further downward pressure.

Highlights of the Weekly US Oil Report from the EIA

  • Crude oil inventories: +5,474K (vs. +270K expected)
  • Gasoline inventories: +878K (vs. -1,212K expected)
  • Distillate inventories: -1,140K (vs. -1,679K expected)
  • Refinery utilization: +1.8% (vs. -0.3% expected)

he weekly report showed a much larger-than-expected increase in crude and gasoline inventories, while distillates fell less than anticipated. Refinery utilization also surpassed expectations, indicating increased refinery activity. Oil was in the midst of a nice intraday bounce before this data but there has been some selling since.

US WTI Crude Oil Live Chart

WTI
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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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