CRCL Stock Confirms Trend Shift Higher, Riding Stablecoin Clarity and Adoption

After two months of steep declines, Circle (NYSE: CRCL) has mounted a dramatic recovery. Shares climbed 12% this week and 8%...

From Setback to Surge: Circle Finds Its Footing in Digital Finance

Quick overview

  • Circle's shares have rebounded 12% this week, closing at $141.50, following improved technicals and new U.S. regulatory clarity for stablecoins.
  • The company's flagship stablecoin, USD Coin (USDC), has doubled in circulation year-over-year, indicating a shift towards mainstream financial use.
  • Circle has strengthened its ecosystem through partnerships and technological upgrades, including the launch of Native USDC on Hyperliquid's Layer-1.
  • The passage of the GENIUS Act has boosted market sentiment, benefiting Circle and other blockchain firms by providing regulatory clarity.

After two months of steep declines, Circle (NYSE: CRCL) has mounted a dramatic recovery. Shares climbed 12% this week and 8% in after-hours trading Thursday, closing at $141.50. The rebound reflects both improving technicals and a powerful catalyst—fresh U.S. regulatory clarity for stablecoins.

Circle’s Expanding Role in Digital Finance

Since its June IPO, Circle has positioned itself as a critical bridge between traditional banking and blockchain-based finance. Its flagship stablecoin, USD Coin (USDC), is seeing accelerating adoption: circulation has doubled year-over-year to more than $72 billion, while higher interest rates on reserves are bolstering revenue.

Beyond speculation, USDC is increasingly used for real-world payments and corporate transactions—a sign that stablecoins are shifting from niche tools to mainstream financial instruments.

Strategic Moves: Hyperliquid Partnership and Expansion

Circle is deepening its ecosystem ties. Recently, the company rolled out Native USDC and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP V2) on HyperEVM, an Ethereum-compatible chain built into Hyperliquid’s Layer-1. This upgrade improves USDC’s functionality and cross-chain adoption.

Additional plans include launching Hyperliquid USDC on HyperCore, a platform tailored for on-chain financial operations, enabling direct deposits and interoperability with CCTP. Circle has also taken a direct investment stake in Hyperliquid and is considering becoming a validator—moves designed to strengthen its long-term influence in the network.

Currently, Hyperliquid holds nearly $6 billion in USDC—over 8% of Circle’s total circulating supply—highlighting the importance of this partnership.

Regulatory Catalyst: The GENIUS Act

The turning point came from Washington. The U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, a landmark bill providing long-awaited regulatory clarity for stablecoins. Market participants view the act as a foundation for broader adoption of tokenized currencies, shifting sentiment across digital finance.

The impact extended beyond Circle: Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) soared 20% on the news, while other blockchain-related firms also rallied, reflecting investor belief that clear rules will drive institutional participation.

Technical Recovery and Market Confidence

Circle’s stock has been on a rollercoaster since its NYSE debut in June, when shares surged from $69 to $298, valuing the company near $18 billion. That momentum quickly faded, with CRCL falling below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA).

This week marked a technical breakout. Thursday’s 19% jump pushed shares decisively above the $135 resistance (the 20-day SMA), which has now flipped into support. CRCL ended the week more than 60% higher, underscoring a sharp reversal in market sentiment.

Notably, the recovery came despite ARK Invest unloading 300,000 shares across its funds, suggesting strong underlying demand from other buyers.

Outlook: Opportunity with Volatility

Circle’s resurgence is being driven by a combination of sector-wide tailwinds and company-specific execution. With stablecoin usage expanding, strategic blockchain integrations maturing, and U.S. regulation providing clarity, the company’s prospects appear brighter than at any point since its IPO.

Still, volatility remains a constant in the crypto-finance sector. Execution risks—such as scaling new partnerships, regulatory implementation, and managing market swings—will shape whether Circle can sustain its newfound momentum.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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