GBP/INR Price Forecast: In-Depth Technical Analysis & Trends

Edited by: Naum Mileski
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MARKETS TREND
TRADE GBP/INR
Daily Price Prediction: 117.50 INR
Weekly Price Prediction: 118.00 INR

Prices Forecast: Technical Analysis

For the GBP/INR, the daily closing price is predicted to be around 117.50 INR, with a range between 116.80 INR and 118.20 INR. The weekly forecast suggests a closing price of approximately 118.00 INR, with a range from 117.00 INR to 119.00 INR. The RSI is currently at 49.63, indicating a neutral trend, while the ATR at 0.9363 suggests moderate volatility. The ADX at 24.43 reflects a weak trend, implying potential sideways movement. The MACD line is slightly negative, hinting at a bearish sentiment, but the proximity to the signal line suggests potential for a bullish crossover. The economic calendar shows stable unemployment rates in China, which might indirectly influence the GBP/INR through global market sentiment. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a cautious approach, with potential for minor bullish movements if the RSI strengthens.

Fundamental Overview and Analysis

Recently, GBP/INR has shown a steady upward trend, driven by stable economic indicators and moderate investor confidence. The pair’s value is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events. The current market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with investors eyeing potential growth opportunities in the UK and India. However, challenges such as Brexit-related uncertainties and India’s economic reforms pose risks. The asset appears fairly valued, with room for growth if economic conditions remain stable. Investors are advised to monitor regulatory changes and global economic trends closely, as these could impact the pair’s performance.

Outlook for GBP/INR

The future outlook for GBP/INR is moderately bullish, with potential for gradual appreciation. Historical price movements indicate a stable upward trend, supported by moderate volatility. Key factors influencing the price include economic conditions in the UK and India, as well as global market trends. In the short term (1-6 months), the pair is expected to trade within a range of 116.50 INR to 119.50 INR, with potential for upward movement if economic indicators improve. Long-term forecasts (1-5 years) suggest continued growth, driven by economic recovery and increased trade between the UK and India. However, geopolitical tensions and market volatility remain potential risks.

Technical Analysis

Current Price Overview: The current price of GBP/INR is 117.14 INR, slightly above the previous close of 116.87 INR. Over the last 24 hours, the price has shown a slight upward trend with moderate volatility, characterized by small bullish candles.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels are at 116.45 INR, 115.77 INR, and 115.38 INR. Resistance levels are at 117.53 INR, 117.93 INR, and 118.61 INR. The pivot point is at 116.85 INR, with the asset trading slightly above it, indicating a potential bullish sentiment.
Technical Indicators Analysis: The RSI at 49.63 suggests a neutral trend, while the ATR at 0.9363 indicates moderate volatility. The ADX at 24.43 reflects a weak trend, suggesting potential sideways movement. The 50-day SMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
Market Sentiment & Outlook: Current sentiment is cautiously bullish, with the price trading above the pivot point. The RSI and ADX suggest a neutral to slightly bullish trend, while the moving average crossover supports a long-term bullish outlook. Moderate volatility as indicated by the ATR suggests potential for gradual price movements.

Forecasting Returns: $1,000 Across Market Conditions

The table below outlines potential returns on a $1,000 investment in GBP/INR under different market scenarios. These scenarios help investors understand potential outcomes and make informed decisions.

Scenario Price Change Value After 1 Month
Bullish Breakout +5% to ~118.00 INR ~$1,050
Sideways Range 0% to ~117.00 INR ~$1,000
Bearish Dip -3% to ~114.00 INR ~$970

FAQs

What are the predicted price forecasts for the asset?

The daily closing price for GBP/INR is predicted to be around 117.50 INR, with a weekly forecast of approximately 118.00 INR. These predictions are based on current technical indicators and market conditions.

What are the key support and resistance levels for the asset?

Key support levels for GBP/INR are at 116.45 INR, 115.77 INR, and 115.38 INR, while resistance levels are at 117.53 INR, 117.93 INR, and 118.61 INR. The pivot point is at 116.85 INR.

Disclaimer

In conclusion, while the analysis provides a structured outlook on the asset’s potential price movements, it is essential to remember that financial markets are inherently unpredictable. Conducting thorough research and staying informed about market trends and economic indicators is crucial for making informed investment decisions.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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