Long on EUR/CHF at The 100 SMA

The USD is currently going through a difficult period, as the White House is opening trade wars and currency wars on all fronts.


The USD is currently going through a difficult period, as the White House is opening trade wars and currency wars on all fronts. Safe haven currencies are seeing the biggest bids today, after Munchin’s comments that a weak Dollar is great for the US.

As a result of these events, the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc have been in high demand. The Euro has benefited from this USD weakness, although not like safe haven currencies have. EUR/CHF has been sliding, and has now reached a level at which we believe is a great opportunity to try a short term buy signal.

This chart setup looks pretty bullish to me

We just opened this forex signal, and above you can see the chart setup that persuaded us to make this trade. The uptrend is very clear, meaning that we are heading in the right direction.

Right now, we are in retracting mode. The stochastic indicator is oversold on the H4 chart timeframe, which tells us that the retrace lower should conclude soon, and a reverse higher should follow.

The main indicator for this trade is the 100 SMA (red). This moving average has been providing support on dips since June/July  of last year- we are back here once again, and it looks like it is providing support once more.

While the area around 1.1720-30 used to provide resistance at the end of last year, it has now become support, and with this in mind, we have decided to test out the strength of that support. It seems that it is strong enough for a buy signal, but for now, we’ll have to wait and see.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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