Going Short on EUR/USD Since It Can’t Hold Above 1.18

EUR/USD has been on a bullish trend for a couple of weeks now. It traded on a strong bearish trend for two months, but we saw a retrace...

The divergence signaled a bearish reversal

EUR/USD has been on a bullish trend for a couple of weeks now. It traded on a strong bearish trend for two months, but we saw a retrace take place in the last two weeks which brought EUR/USD more than 300 pips higher.

Although, the pullback seems to be over now. The price has climbed above 1.18, but it seems as the buyers can’t push too high above that level. The area around this level seems to be a tough resistance zone.

The price moved above 1.18 again this morning, but it couldn’t stay above it for too long. It started reversing a couple of hours ago and it dived back below 1.18. Based on this price action, we decided to take a short trade on this forex pair.

As you can see from the hourly chart above, EUR/USD formed an upside down hammer on the H1 time-frame. That is a reversing signal after a bullish move. We waited a bit longer to see if the reverse down was happening and when the price moved back below 1.18, we decided to open a sell forex signal.

We sold at 1.18 and now the price is 20 pips lower. The stochastic indicator was overbought and it had formed a bit of divergence with the price, which is another bearish signal. Now our signal looks to be on the right track, so we’re happy with this trade.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

Related Articles

Comments

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers