Bulls

U.S. Indices Begin November In The Green

Posted Thursday, November 1, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

November has started off on a bullish note for the U.S. indices. The DJIA and S&P 500 have both posted nice first-hour gains, 140 and 10 points respectively. Positive sentiment is the order of the day even after the release of a mixed batch of U.S. economic metrics.

During the pre-Wall Street open, the ISM Manufacturing PMI (Oct.) came in below expectations at 55.7. The number itself is arbitrary, but very similar to yesterday’s lagging Chicago PMI (Oct.). Both figures have come in this week at six-month lows.

Regardless of underperforming manufacturing numbers, traders are viewing the positive Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct. 26) and slightly negative Initial Jobless Claims (Oct. 26) as positives. At least for the moment, the U.S. indices appear to be anticipating a strong Non-Farm Payrolls Report for Friday.

A Rally In The U.S. Indices

The S&P 500 is looking to put up a three day winning streak for the first time in more than a month. December E-mini S&P 500 futures are echoing the action, trading near an important Fibonacci resistance level (2739.75).

December E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES), Daily Chart
December E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES), Daily Chart

Here are the key topside resistance levels to watch during today’s rally:

  • Resistance(1): 62% Current Wave Retracement, 2739.75
  • Resistance(2): Bollinger MP, 2766.25
  • Resistance(3): Daily SMA, 2815.25

Bottom Line: Short scalps from each topside resistance level are affordable ways to fade the current rally in the December E-mini S&P 500. However, these are counter-trend trades. A modest 6-8 tick profit target and tight 1:1 risk vs reward management plan is advised.

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About the author

Shain Vernier is our US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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