Cashing 8n on NZD/USD as it Bounces Off the 20 SMA

Yesterday we decided to go long on NZD/USD, as this pair was retracing lower on the H1 chart. The price reached the 50 SMA (yellow) on that time-frame which was providing support and the retrace seemed complete with stochastic oversold. Exactly the same scenario had happened the day before, with NZD/USD bouncing higher off that moving average, so we decided to take that opportunity yesterday.

Although, I hadn’t consulted the H4 chart before opening that trade, which I should have. Anyway, looking at it now, we see that the 20 SMA (grey) has caught up with the price yesterday, which added further strength to the support that the 50 SMA was providing on the H1 chart.

This moving average hasn’t been a pronounced support and resistance indicator before, but it did so yesterday, aided by the 50 SMA on the H1 chart as well. The fundamental picture seemed bullish as well, with the sentiment being slightly positive in financial markets,which is good for risk currencies and the USD remaining weak, as it has done all this week. Eventually, the price reversed higher and this morning I woke up to find this signal has reached the take profit target, so it proved to be a good trade.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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