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GBP/USD Back Above 1.30 After Rate Cut Likelihood Cools Off Slightly

The Pound has reclaimed the 1.30 level against the US dollar early on Wednesday, recovering after recent weakness driven by rising expectations for rate cuts after a weak GDP report release earlier this week. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at around 1.302.

On Monday, GBP/USD witnessed a sharp decline after a BOE policymaker hinted at the possibility of an upcoming rate cut in the face of worsening economic data out of Britain. The British economy witnessed an unexpected contraction while industrial production also disappointed the markets.

For now, markets are pricing in a 43% likelihood of a 25bp rate cut at the end of this month. The likelihood of a rate cut had risen to 50% on Tuesday after hovering around 20% last week. Meanwhile, markets expect a full rate cut by the BOE before the end of this year.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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