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Shorting the Retrace in EUR/CHF at the 100 SMA

EUR/CHF was trading sideways in a range from the middle of July, until the second week of October. The top of the range was around 1.0840-60 while the bottom stood around 1.0720. But, the Euro turned bearish back then, while the CHF increased as the deteriorating market sentiment sent safe havens higher.

The 100 SMA on the daily chart which was acting as support in early October, was broken and turned into resistance, while the 200 SMA turned into support on that time-frame chart. On the H4 chart, the 100 SMA turned into resistance in recent days, as shown below.

Last week, we saw another move lower, taking this pair to 1.0670. But, yesterday EUR/CHF reversed higher and was climbing until a few hours ago, reaching the previous support area at 1.0720. The 100 SMA was waiting up there and it provided resistance for the second time. EUR/CHF started to reverse back down and we decided to open a sell forex signal below the 100 SMA. Now the price is reversing down again, so this trade looks OK.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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