The USD has been on a strong bearish trend since March last year, sending EUR/USD more than 15 cents higher during that time. Although, this pair reversed down after the first week of January, while NZD/USD kept going higher.

NZD/USD continued higher until the last week of February, increasing around 20 cents in total from last year’s lows. Although, during March this pair turned bearish as well, losing around 5 cents as it fell below 0.760.

This month the USD turned bearish again and this pair turned bullish. NZD/USD was finding resistance a the 100 SMA (green) on the H4 chart for some time, but it eventually pushed above that moving average and n ow the MAs have turned into support.

The 20 SMA (gray) and the 50 SMA (yellow) are providing support at the bottom, where we opened a buy forex signal yesterday during the retreat lower. The price formed a small hammer candlestick above them which is a bullish reversing signal after the retreat and today the price is b0uncing higher again. We are in profit with our NZD/USD signal, so we are holding on to this trade.