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Gold - XAU/USD Chart

Gold Price Forecast – Ascending Triangle Pattern in Play, Sell Limit in Place!

Posted Tuesday, May 4, 2021 by
Arslan Butt • 3 min read

During Tuesday’s early Asian trading session, the precious metal gold failed to maintain its overnight winning streak. It edged lower around the $1,790 level mainly due to the prevalent upbeat market sentiment, which tends to weaken the safe haven yellow metal prices as investors are continuing a withdrawal of their money from the asset. However, the reason could be tied to the recent positive comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell and New York Fed President John Williams regarding U.S. economic recovery.

Elsewhere, the reason behind the risk-on market sentiment could also be associated with the reports suggesting that some areas in India are witnessing a fading rally in the COVID-19 cases. Meanwhile, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) showed readiness to continue the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for 12-15 years old, which also favored the upbeat sentiment and contributed to the yellow-metal losses.

On the bearish side, the continuous US-Iran jitters and tussles between Saudi Arabia and Tehran keep challenging the upbeat market mood, which helps the safe-haven-metal to limit deeper losses. In addition, the broad-based U.S. dollar’s bearish bias also played its major role in helping the gold prices as they are inversely related to the price of the U.S. dollar. As of writing, the GOLD is currently trading at 1,791.53 and consolidating in the range between 1,790.92 and 1,793.34.Despite the geopolitical tensions, the market trading sentiment managed to extend its overnight positive performance. It drew some further bids on the day amid renewed optimism over the U.S. economic recovery. Therefore, the positive tone surrounding the market trading sentiment was seen as one of the key factors that kept the bullion prices lower.

At the USD front, the broad-based U.S. dollar failed to extend its previous day’s bullish bias and dropped on the day as demand for the safe-haven assets declined amid optimism over the U.S. economic recovery. Furthermore, the losses in the U.S. dollar could also be tied to the optimism over the rollout of vaccines for the highly infectious coronavirus disease.

Conversely, the mounting worries over the resurgence of the coronavirus pandemic, as well as U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s willingness to tap Beijing keep questioning the market’s upbeat trading mood. Moreover, the failure of the US-Iran nuclear discussions also gaining market attention. This, in turn, added questions around the market trading sentiment, which becomes the critical factor that kept the lid on any additional losses in the safe-haven metal prices. In the absence of significant data/events on the day, the market traders will keep their eyes on U.S. Factory Orders data later. Apart from this, the virus and stimulus headlines will also be key to watch for fresh direction.

Gold - XAU/USD Chart

Gold – XAU/USD – Daily Support and Resistance

S1 1736.52
S2 1762.13
S3 1777.48
Pivot Point 1787.74
R1 1803.09
R2 1813.35
R3 1838.96
On the technical side, GOLD is trading with a strong bearish bias at 1,787 level, having formed an ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe. On the higher side, the precious metal is likely to face resistance at 1,798 level. Gold has closed a Doji candle followed by strong bullish momentum; therefore, the odds of bearish correction stay solid. On the lower side, the XAU/USD pair can take a dip until the next support area of 1,775 level, and below this, the next support is likely to be found around 1,765. A bullish breakout of 1,798 levels can lead the metal towards a 1,816 level on the higher side. Let’s consider placing a sell limit below 1,798 level today. Good luck!
 

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Anil Yadav
Anil Yadav
2 years ago

Arslan Butt . You are the best trading Analyst. god bless you bro.

Last edited 2 years ago by Anil Yadav