Shorting the Retrace in EUR/CHF at the 200 SMA

EUR/CHF hs retraced up, but the 200 SMA is acting as resistance on the H4 chart

Will the 200 SMA reverse EUR/CHF back down soon?

EUR/CHF used to be bullish for nearly a year, from May last year when it started the bullish reversal until March this year.  The price climbed more than 5 cents higher, as this pair moved above 1.11, but reversed a few months back and has been bearish since then.

The bearish trend so far has been pretty straightforward, with the occasional retrace higher, which have actually been declining, showing that sellers are in control in this pair. The price has declined below all moving averages and it seems like the 200 SMA (purple) has turned into resistance now.

 

EUR/CHF

EUR/CHF

Although, this pair has formed a bottom around 1.0930 which has reversed EUR/CHF higher several times this month. But, the 200 SMA is acting as resistance on the H4 chart, rejecting the price twice today. So, we decided to open a sell forex signal in this pair below the 200 SMA, since he stochastic indicator is also overbought, suggesting that the retrace up is complete.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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