EUR/USD Retreats, But MAs Continue to Hold As Support

EUR/USD retreated down yesterday, but it's finding support at the 100 SMA again today

ECB's Knot pushing for a 75 bps hike

The EUR/USD has been quite bullish for more than a year, although it is trading below the highs of 1.2350s, which were reached in the first week of January. We saw a retreat form January until the end of March, as the USD started gaining some strength, but it ended at 1.17 for this Forex pair, and since early April, the EUR/USD has been bullish again.

Moving averages have been acting as support on the H4 chart, particularly the 50 SMA (yellow) and the 100 SMA (green). These two moving averages have held the price during retreats lower, pushing the pair higher.

The 100 SMA still holding as support for the EUR/USD today

Yesterday, the EUR/USD retreated downwards, but today the 100 SMA is providing support once again. The price has bounced 20 pips higher off that moving average, but it’s not turning bullish yet. ECB member Knot made some positive comments earlier today, but they’re not helping the Euro much.

Comment by ECB Policymaker Klaas Knot

  • Recovery in Europe seems to be going faster than expected
  • Sustainable recovery only possible if the coronavirus is contained on a global scale
The headline underscores some optimism as we look towards the ECB meeting next week. It may be too soon to draw a hard line on tapering, but the ECB may lay the groundwork for that, as risks appear to be more balanced, and if anything, they are favouring the upside.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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