EUR/USD to Head for 1.05, As Eurozone Economic Sentiment Deteriorates

The economy of the Eurozone was picking up again in the first two months of this year and optimism was prevailing on the investor sentiment. But, the conflict in Ukraine hurt the sentiment and sent inflation surging higher, which had already been on the increase in the last two years and was already pretty high. Last month the ZEW economic sentiment dived deep into negative territory as it fell to -39 points, and this month it is expected to dive even deeper.

EUR/USD has been hit by the deteriorating sentiment, while the divergence in the monetary policy between the FED and the EU are also weighing on this pair, as the USD moves higher.

Eurozone April ZEW Economic Sentiment

ZEW 04-2022

  • April ZEW survey current conditions -30.8 points vs -35.0 expected
  • March ZEW current conditions were -21.4 points
  • Economic sentiment -41.0 points vs -48.0 expected
  • Prior sentiment was -39.3 points

The headline reading is the lowest since May last year with ZEW noting that the current economic situation reflects pessimism and experts assume that conditions will continue to deteriorate. But there was a decline in inflation expectations, giving some cause for hope. That said, the prospect of stagflation remains over the next six months.

EUR/USD Live Chart

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Skerdian Meta
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Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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