Gold Price at $2,715: Bullish Momentum Faces Key Resistance Levels

Gold prices dipped slightly on Thursday, slipping to $2,715 as investors booked profits following a strong rally earlier this week.

This pullback comes after gold scaled a one-month high, buoyed by growing confidence in a Federal Reserve rate cut on December 18. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 98.5% probability of a 25-basis-point cut, up from 86% before November’s inflation report, which met market expectations.

Ajay Kedia, director at Kedia Commodities, attributed the decline to short-term profit-taking. “Geopolitical tensions, China’s renewed gold purchases, and steady inflation figures have been supportive for gold this week. However, investors are locking in gains ahead of major central bank events,” he said.

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data due later today will provide further clues on the Federal Reserve’s policy direction for 2025. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is expected to announce another rate cut, signaling more easing in the coming year. Lower interest rates typically favor zero-yield assets like gold, strengthening their appeal during economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

XAU/USD

Geopolitical and Economic Tailwinds for Gold

Gold’s resilience has also been fueled by geopolitical developments. The United Nations General Assembly voted overwhelmingly on Wednesday to demand a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas conflict, adding to the global uncertainty that has historically driven demand for safe-haven assets. Additionally, China’s recent purchases of gold reserves signal a strategic move, reinforcing bullish sentiment in the market.

With cooling U.S. labor market data and inflation within expectations, the Fed is unlikely to waver on its rate cut trajectory. Similarly, the ECB’s easing stance provides further support for gold prices as central banks prioritize growth over inflation control.

Technical Outlook: Key Resistance and Support Levels

Gold remains in a bullish zone, trading at $2,715 after breaking a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 2-hour chart. Immediate resistance levels are seen at $2,727 and $2,750, with a potential surge to $2,775 if momentum continues. On the downside, critical support levels are identified at $2,700 and $2,683 (50-day EMA).

  • Resistance Levels: $2,727, $2,750, $2,775
  • Support Levels: $2,700, $2,683 (50 EMA), $2,647
  • RSI: 70.18, signaling overbought but strong upward momentum

Gold’s outlook remains positive, with broader macroeconomic conditions aligning to support further gains in the coming sessions.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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