1.2825-1.2800 Is A Key Area For The USD/CAD

Posted Thursday, May 17, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

The surprising Philadelphia FED Survey is still being digested by the markets, prompting a rally in the USD. The Greenback’s strength against most of the majors is the story as we near the halfway point of the U.S. forex session.

Fundamentals are in firm control of the Loonie. A bullish break from WTI crude oil fueled an early rally against the Greenback. The optimism has waned. The Canadian ADP Employment metric came in beneath the previous release, the Philly FED smoked expectations and WTI crude is in the midst of a selloff.

Let’s dig into the technicals and identify the key levels for the remainder of the session.

USD/CAD Technicals

In a live market update from yesterday, I outlined a potential scenario facing the USD/CAD for today’s session. While this market has been relatively active, it has entered a key technical area on the daily chart.

USD/CAD, Daily Chart

In the past half-hour, WTI crude pricing has dropped over 75 cents per barrel. This is a big move and is driving the USD/CAD north. Here are the support and resistance levels to watch for the remainder of the session:

  • Resistance(1): Daily SMA, 1.2824
  • Support(1): Bollinger MP, 1.2796

Bottom Line: For the rest of the day, I will be looking to fade the extremes using a tight 1:1 risk vs reward plan in the USD/CAD. Sells from 1.2824 and buys from 1.2796 are affordable ways to scalp between 8-15 pips on a rotational trade.

This is an intraday rotational scalping plan. In the event that price leaves the 1.2825-1.2800 area, then all bets are off and it is back to the drawing board.

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