November XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Holds Well as Liquidity Pump, ETF Talk Fuel Bullish Hope

Although Ripple's XRP is starting to recover after a wild October, traders remain cautious as technical resistance, central bank easing...

Can Ripple Break Free? XRP Tests Resistance Amid ETF Buzz and FED Easing

Quick overview

  • Ripple's XRP is showing signs of recovery after a volatile October, but traders remain cautious due to ETF speculation and technical resistance.
  • Despite a rebound above $2.50, XRP struggles to break the $3 threshold, with previous support at $2.70 now acting as resistance.
  • Market optimism is fueled by potential approval of a spot XRP ETF and significant liquidity injections from the Federal Reserve, which could drive institutional demand.
  • Ripple's strategic moves, including a $1 billion acquisition and regulatory alignment efforts in Europe, strengthen its foundations for long-term growth.

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Although Ripple’s XRP is starting to recover after a wild October, traders remain cautious as technical resistance, central bank easing, and ETF speculation combine to challenge market trust.

Global Volatility Challenges Ripple’s Recovery

Ripple’s XRP endured a turbulent month as global markets were rocked by renewed U.S.–China tensions and an aggressive risk-off sentiment. The total cryptocurrency market cap fell below $4 trillion, dragging XRP nearly 50% lower to $1.50 before rebounding sharply above $2.50.

Ripple Chart Daily – The 20 SMA held As Support

Despite this recovery, XRP remains capped under the $3 threshold — a reminder of lingering investor hesitation. The 20-day simple moving average continues to act as a safety net, underscoring Ripple’s relative strength compared to other altcoins. However, the previous support level at $2.70 has now flipped to resistance, and bulls must reclaim both $2.70 and $3 to reignite a sustainable uptrend.

ETF Speculation Fuels Optimism

Market excitement has intensified around the potential approval of a spot XRP ETF, which many believe could unlock a wave of new institutional demand. Since changes at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission earlier this year, expectations for an approval have surged — with prediction platforms like Polymarket showing near-total confidence in a green light soon.

Canary Capital’s recent filing update — removing the “delaying amendment” — hints at a potential November 13 launch, bypassing traditional delays. If confirmed, this would mark a pivotal milestone for Ripple, signaling deeper market integration and validation within traditional finance.

Central Bank Liquidity Sparks Bullish Sentiment

Adding fuel to the fire, the Federal Reserve’s $29.4 billion liquidity injection has reignited risk appetite across crypto markets. The infusion — the largest since the dot-com era — has been interpreted as a bullish macro signal for digital assets, particularly XRP, which historically benefits from looser monetary policy.

During past liquidity surges, XRP posted dramatic gains — including a 50% spike during the 2020 repo market expansion. Many long-term holders now view this renewed injection as a potential catalyst for another similar phase of explosive growth.

Institutional Expansion Strengthens Ripple’s Foundations

Ripple’s integration into mainstream finance continues to deepen. Trading activity in CME’s XRP and Micro XRP futures has surged since their May 2025 debut, with over 567,000 contracts worth nearly $27 billion traded. Open interest reached a record $1.4 billion in September, underscoring strong institutional appetite.

This trend reflects a fundamental shift: Ripple’s technology and token are increasingly being adopted as legitimate financial instruments, bridging the gap between decentralized assets and regulated financial markets.

Strategic Moves Bolster Long-Term Prospects

Ripple’s $1 billion acquisition of GTreasury marks a bold step toward merging blockchain liquidity with corporate cash management. The deal expands Ripple’s client base to more than 1,000 enterprises in 160 countries, enhancing its role in global treasury and payments infrastructure.

At the same time, renewed attention to Ripple’s earlier collaborations with American Express reinforces its corporate credibility, even as short-term price action remains volatile.

European Regulatory Push and Institutional DeFi Momentum

Ripple’s recent meeting with Luxembourg’s Finance Minister Gilles Roth reflects its strategic drive toward greater European regulatory alignment. With clearer frameworks emerging in the EU, Ripple aims to cement its position as a compliant blockchain player within the traditional finance ecosystem.

In addition, Ripple’s Standard Custody & Trust arm received a no-action letter from the SEC, authorizing it to act as a qualified custodian — a milestone for institutional credibility. Meanwhile, DeFi activity on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has accelerated beyond $1 billion in monthly stablecoin transfers, with upcoming upgrades focusing on enterprise lending, compliance integration, and privacy layers to attract regulated institutions.

Technical Picture: Testing the Boundaries

Technically, XRP remains in a consolidation phase. The $1.50 zone continues to act as firm support, protected by the 100-week simple moving average, while the 50-week SMA has turned into resistance. A sustained move above $2.70 — and especially $3 — could signal a bullish reversal. Failure to clear these levels, however, risks trapping XRP within a sideways range vulnerable to broader market volatility.

Ripple Chart Weekly – The 50 SMA Turns Into Resistance

Conclusion: Optimism Meets Caution

Ripple’s story is increasingly one of resilience and reinvention. Institutional adoption is rising, regulatory pathways are slowly clearing, and macro liquidity conditions appear favorable. Yet the inability to break through critical resistance levels — both technically and psychologically — underscores that investor conviction remains cautious.

If an XRP ETF materializes and liquidity tailwinds persist, Ripple could be poised for another breakout phase. But without clear momentum above $3, the rally risks stalling once again — leaving XRP suspended between institutional promise and market skepticism.

Ripple Live Chart

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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