Bitcoin Approaches $100K Amid Institutional Buying Surge and Trade War Concerns
Bitcoin holds strong at $97,000 as institutional demand accelerates while retail investors face potential pricing-out. BTC/USD's ability to
Quick overview
- Bitcoin (BTC) has shown resilience with a 2% gain in 24 hours, currently priced around $97,000, as institutional investors view it as a hedge against geopolitical tensions.
- The cryptocurrency has risen 13% recently and is facing consolidation around the $96,000 to $99,000 range before potentially testing the $100,000 mark.
- Market analysts predict Bitcoin could reach between $125,000 and $150,000 by late 2025, although a significant correction may follow such a peak.
- Retail investors may soon be priced out of the Bitcoin market due to increasing institutional adoption, with experts suggesting Bitcoin could exceed $1 million by 2029.
With around $97,000 and a 2% gain over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) is still showing amazing strength despite world economic concerns. This rising trend results from institutional investors seeing BTC/USD as a strategic hedge against geopolitical concerns, especially in light of growing trade tensions between big countries.
Rising 13% in recent weeks, the biggest cryptocurrency in the world has broken through barrier levels before starting brief consolidation periods. On-chain data shows a notable volume cluster between $96,000 and $99,000, implying Bitcoin could have to consolidate more before testing the much awaited $100,000 psychological barrier.
Lead by Bitcoin enthusiast Michael Saylor, Strategy—formerly MicroStrategy—keeps its aggressive accumulation approach. With a year-to– date Bitcoin yield of 13.7%, the company stated in its Q1 financial report published May 1 a gain of over 61,000 BTC valued around $5.8 billion. Emphasizing its optimistic view despite missing Wall Street’s quarterly projections, the company has set its Bitcoin yield objective for this year at 25% and its Bitcoin gain aim to $15 billion.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis Points to Potential $150K Peak by Q3
Should Bitcoin recover its broken parabolic slope form, veteran trader Peter Brandt estimates that by August or September 2025 it might reach between $125,000 and $150,000. Brandt advises, however, that consistent with past parabolic pattern behavior, this peak might be followed by a correction of 50% or more.
Supporting this hopeful assessment, Bitcoin analyst Axel Adler Jr. notes the coin is about to enter a “start” rally zone. If certain on-chain indicators reveal a new impulse, his bull case scenario shows a price objective higher than $150,000, thereby perhaps repeating the cycle patterns shown in 2017 and 2021.
If fresh capital inflows stay minimal, a baseline scenario might see BTC grouping between $90,000 and $110,000. Further profit-taking under a negative environment might cause prices to fall between $70,000 and $85,000.
Decoupling Narrative Challenged as Markets Correlate
Given Bitcoin and other major altcoins have tightly followed the S&P 500’s fluctuations over the past ten days, the story that cryptocurrencies are “decoupling” from conventional markets has been called into doubt. With the whole crypto market capitalization up by 8.5% since March and the S&P 500 down by 5.3%, the cryptocurrency market has notably outperformed stocks in recent months despite this transient association.
Looking at larger timesframes helps one to see even more the link. The S&P 500 has dropped by 2%, while the total crypto market capitalization has jumped by 29% during a six-month period, implying that although daily fluctuations may line up, the more general trends differ greatly.
Federal Reserve Policy Shift Could Fuel Further Gains
Rather than concentrating on the latest drop in US manufacturing data, market players are intently observing the Federal Reserve’s next policy decisions. After a year of balance sheet contraction, the Fed is reportedly thinking about asset purchases to help lower selling pressure—a move usually favoring risk-oriented assets like cryptocurrencies.
After US GDP dropped -0.3% for the first time since Q2 2022, the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction dropped to 62.8%. For the June 18 conference. Bitcoin’s allure as a possible counter to inflation and currency devaluation stems in part from this economic uncertainty.
Retail Investors Face Looming Squeeze
Retail investors could soon find themselves priced out of the Bitcoin market if institutional adoption quickens. Co-founder of exchange aggregator 1inch Sergej Kunz advises “every retail user should be thinking about getting at least one Bitcoin — very soon they won’t be able to afford it.”
Experts who observe that institutional Bitcoin usage might drive the price of the cryptocurrency over $1 million by 2029 also share this view. At present, corporate treasuries hold another around $73 billion while Bitcoin ETFs and other institutional institutions possess north of $128 billion worth of BTC.
Fascinatingly, despite Strategy’s large Bitcoin purchases, market analyst Joe Burnett notes that these billion-dollar purchasing frenzy reflect a “reallocation of existing exposure within the Bitcoin ecosystem” rather than new demand, therefore not significantly moving the spot price. According to Burnett, really price-moving capital has to come from sources outside the present Bitcoin ecosystem.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Path to New All-Time Highs
Bitcoin seems ready for possible more increases since it is exhibiting durability among global economic uncertainty and has great value close to $100,000. The basis for Bitcoin to test new all-time highs in the next months might include institutional adoption, lowered selling pressure from long-term holders, and good macroeconomic conditions.
Investors should still be wary of the notable opposition ahead and the likelihood of consolidation before any long-term increase beyond $100,000 nevertheless. when always in the bitcoin markets, volatility is expected especially when Bitcoin approaches these historically significant price levels.
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