The USD/CHF Is Now Looking Up At Par

It has been a miserable two sessions for the USD/CHF. Rates have fallen by more than 100 pips, crashing through par value at 1.0000.

USD/CHF

Safe-havens are showing strength to open the new trading month, extending last week’s gains. Gold and the Swiss franc are heading up the charge, followed by a modest uptick in the Japanese yen. As of this writing (1:45 PM EST), the U.S. indices are mixed and Greenback is out ― safe-haven demand is in.

Earlier today, the U.S. Treasury Department auctioned 3 and 6-Month T-bills to the public. Once again, yields fell, led by the 6-Month T-bill falling to 2.255% from 2.320%. This has been the trend for quite some time now. Investors are anticipating that the FED will begin slashing interest rates and putting an abundance of “cheap money” on the street to avoid recession.

The USD/CHF Is On A Roll South

If you are long the USD/CHF, then it has been a miserable two sessions. Rates have fallen by more than 100 pips, crashing through par value at 1.0000.

USD/CHF, Daily Chart
USD/CHF, Daily Chart

Bottom Line: Until elected, I will be looking to buy in from just below April’s Low at .9926. With an initial stop at .9894, this trade produces 25 pips on a slightly sub-1:1 risk vs reward management plan.

From a macro standpoint, it appears that the year-long uptrend in the USD/CHF is poised to enter a corrective phase. After topping out at 1.0236, sellers have driven rates consistently lower. Parity offered little support; the next number up for scrutiny is .9900.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.

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