XRP Price Prediction & Lawsuit Update: $1.87 Support in Focus as Legal Endgame Nears
Speculation that the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit could go into 2026 has sparked debate in the XRP community. But top legal minds...
Quick overview
- Speculation about the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit extending to 2026 has been dismissed by legal expert Bill Morgan, who believes a resolution is likely sooner.
- Morgan cites Judge Torres' favorable ruling for Ripple and the recent joint motion as indicators that the case may conclude quickly.
- Despite positive legal developments, XRP's price remains under pressure, trapped below key resistance levels.
- Market sentiment is cautious, with traders not fully pricing in a potential win for Ripple as they watch critical support and resistance levels.
Speculation that the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit could go into 2026 has sparked debate in the XRP community. But top legal minds close to the case say otherwise. XRP legal expert Bill Morgan shot down the timeline rumor, saying it’s unlikely.
Morgan pointed to Judge Analisa Torres’ track record and the recent joint motion for an “indicative ruling” as signs the case could be over sooner. “Unless the judge denies the motion—which I find improbable—the case won’t be delayed,” Morgan wrote on X.
The case started in December 2020 and centers around the SEC’s claim that Ripple sold XRP as an unregistered security. Judge Torres’ 2023 ruling determined XRP was not a security in programmatic sales, giving Ripple partial win. The latest joint filings suggest both sides may be leaning towards closure not escalation.
Expert Opinion: Why 2026 Is Unlikely
Morgan expects the court to rule based on the current judgment rather than prolonged appeals. His reasoning:
- Judge Torres’ summary judgment favors Ripple on key sales classifications.
- Prolonged litigation would be costly for both sides with little added value.
- The joint motion is a rare instance of SEC-Ripple alignment.
If the court grants the motion, Morgan estimates the case could be over in weeks. While James Farrell has floated 2026-2027 scenarios if the motion fails, most legal insiders see that as a long shot.
XRP Technical Setup: Trendline Resistance Holds Price
While the legal outlook is looking up, XRP’s chart tells a different story. Price is stuck below $2.03, trapped under a descending trendline that started last week. The rejection at the 50-period EMA ($2.07) confirms selling pressure.
Candlestick patterns show a bearish harami—a red candle inside a previous green one—a sign of fading momentum. The 200 EMA is at $2.16, reinforcing the broader bearish view.
Short-term levels:
- Resistance: $2.03, $2.08, $2.15
- Support: $1.95, $1.91, $1.87If XRP goes below $1.958, it could go down to $1.91 and $1.87. For bulls to take control, price needs to break and hold above $2.03 with volume and then $2.08 or higher.
Bottom Line: Resolution Near, But Market Not Convinced
Despite the growing alignment and expert opinion that the case could be over in weeks, XRP’s price is still cautious. The lower-highs and trendline rejection show traders aren’t fully pricing in a win yet. That could change quickly—if Judge Torres rules in Ripple’s favor on the joint motion.
For now, eyes are on $1.95 support and $2.03 breakout. Until then, sentiment is defensive even as the legal path is clear.
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