Natural Gas Falls from Peak as Demand Weakens

Gas prices have fallen recently as stocks increase and demand remains relatively muted during the start of the summer months.

Natural gas reserves are high and prices remain low.

Quick overview

  • Natural gas futures have dropped 19% from a recent high of $4.11, currently sitting at $3.30.
  • High supplies and decreased demand amid localized heat waves are contributing to the falling prices.
  • Air conditioning usage remains low, with demand expected to rise later in July.
  • European gas prices are also declining, reflecting the ample supply despite recent geopolitical tensions.

After hitting $4.11 last week, natural gas futures are down 19%, losing nearly 3.5% on Tuesday alone as the demand for natural gas lessens amid summer heat.

The price of natural gas has fallen from its recent high as supplies remain very high.
The price of natural gas has fallen from its recent high as supplies remain very high.

Supplies of natural gas are high at the moment, with weeks of impressive injections into gas reservoirs, and at the same time, there is a decreased demand for gas, leading to a falling market price. Down to $3.30 from its recent high of $4.11, Natural Gas (NGQ5) are at a one-week low.

The price is about on par with where it has been for the last three months, however, and it is slightly below the average for the entirety of 2025. The price shot up recently as a peace agreement was reached in the Middle East between Israel and Iran, but the combined problems of oversupply and limited demand are making it hard for investors to see profits right now.

Heat Wave Only Necessitates Limited Reserves

While a heat wave is hitting some areas of the United States and India, this is a fairly localized phenomenon, and it may not warrant pulling much of the gas reserves to provide air conditioning for these affected areas. Parts of the United States reported some of their hottest summer temperatures ever, but others have reported colder than usual temperatures.

The localized heat wave is not enough to dip deeply into the massive supplies of natural gas, leaving the price relatively low for now. We may not see an extended price increase until winter sets in.

The seasonal trends indicate a bearish movement for natural gas, limiting its demand for the coming months. Air conditioning usage is still low and will not reach its peak until further in July, meaning that the demand for gas could increase in the next few weeks.

Gas prices in Europe are retreating as well, in line with U.S. prices. The numbers indicate the supply is plentiful, even with the weeks of fighting in the Middle East now coming to an end. Strategic military strikes in that region targeted nuclear missile bases and energy stations rather than oil reserves, keeping global oil and gas supplies high. 

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Timothy St. John
Financial Writer - European & US Desks
Timothy St John is a seasoned financial analyst and writer, catering to the dynamic landscapes of the US and European markets. Boasting over a decade of extensive freelance writing experience, he has made significant contributions to reputable platforms such as Yahoo!Finance, business.com: Expert Business Advice, Tips, and Resources - Business.com, and numerous others. Timothy's expertise lies in in-depth research and comprehensive coverage of stock and cryptocurrency movements, coupled with a keen understanding of the economic factors influencing currency dynamics. Timothy majored in English at East Tennessee State University, and you can find him on LinkedIn.

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