ASML’s Record €13B Quarter: Upbeat 2026 Forecast Signals AI Supercycle Strength
ASML reported orders that exceeded forecasts, and 2026 sales guidance was also higher than anticipated as AI demand continues to boost the Dutch chip giant's operations.
Quick overview
- ASML reported record orders of 13.2 billion euros in Q4 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations.
- The company raised its 2026 sales guidance, anticipating net sales between 34 billion and 39 billion euros.
- ASML plans to buy back shares worth 12 billion euros by the end of 2028, reflecting strong financial performance.
- The ongoing AI infrastructure boom is driving demand for ASML's chip-making tools, contributing to a nearly 30% increase in its shares this year.
ASML reported orders that exceeded forecasts, and 2026 sales guidance was also higher than anticipated as AI demand continues to boost the Dutch chip giant’s operations.
According to Visible Alpha, cited by Reuters, bookings, one of the most closely watched metrics from investors, came in at 13.2 billion euros ($15.8 billion) in the fourth quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst expectations of 6.32 billion euros. Roger Dassen, ASML’s finance chief, said that this quarter’s orders were a record.
Additionally, ASML announced a plan to buy back shares worth 12 billion euros by December 31, 2028.
The company stated that it anticipates net sales of between 8.2 billion and 8.9 billion euros in the current quarter and between 34 billion and 39 billion euros in total sales for 2026.
ASML does not anticipate that total net sales in 2026 will be lower than those in 2025. According to the company’s forecast, revenue growth will be at least 20%.
The AI infrastructure boom is driving several tailwinds for ASML, which produces the tools needed to make the world’s most sophisticated chips.
This year alone, ASML’s shares have increased by almost 30%. (TSMC) added to the narrative that the demand for AI chips and infrastructure will persist this month, with another record increase in profit in the fourth quarter.
The largest chipmaker in the world, TSMC, is a client of ASML and produces semiconductors for businesses like AMD and Nvidia.
In the meantime, there is a scarcity of memory semiconductors, which has led to an unheard-of increase in the component’s cost; some in the electronics sector predict that the shortage will last until 2027. According to analysts, the largest memory manufacturers, such as Samsung and SK Hynix, will buy more ASML machines to expand their chipmaking capacity in the next year or two. For instance, Barclays stated in a note this month that it anticipates SK Hynix to take 1.
- Check out our free forex signals
- Follow the top economic events on FX Leaders economic calendar
- Trade better, discover more Forex Trading Strategies
- Open a FREE Trading Account
- Read our latest reviews on: Avatrade, Exness, HFM and XM