Bitcoin Price Prediction: Quantum Fears, Dalio’s Warning and $68K Test

Bitcoin faces a rare mix of structural debate and technical pressure. Willy Woo flags quantum risk to scarcity, Ray Dalio questions...

Quick overview

  • Bitcoin is facing structural debates and technical pressures, with concerns about quantum computing potentially eroding its scarcity.
  • Ray Dalio warns of a collapsing global monetary order, increasing interest in Bitcoin as a neutral asset amidst economic instability.
  • Metaplanet reports a 738% revenue increase attributed to Bitcoin, despite a significant net loss due to accounting regulations.
  • Bitcoin's price is currently near $68,000, with critical support at $67,172 and potential downside risks toward $63,459.

Bitcoin faces a rare mix of structural debate and technical pressure. Willy Woo flags quantum risk to scarcity, Ray Dalio questions the global monetary order, and Metaplanet doubles down with aggressive BTC accumulation. Meanwhile, price coils near $68,000 inside a falling channel, with $67,172 support in focus. Will macro tailwinds outweigh near-term breakdown risk toward $63,459?

Willy Woo warns quantum risk is eroding Bitcoin’s edge over gold

Willy Woo a bitcoin specialist has cautioned that growing apprehensions regarding quantum computing could erode Bitcoin’s long-term edge over gold. According to him the markets are gradually pricing in a future “Q-Day” when sophisticated quantum computers might crack current encryption.

Woo clarified that if quantum computers are able to decipher previous wallet keys roughly 4 million “lost” Bitcoin might be made available once again. This might cast doubt on Bitcoin’s claim of scarcity. There is a 75% likelihood that these coins will stay unaltered but a 25% chance that the network will freeze them through a hard fork he estimates.

Woo thinks that because to this uncertainty Bitcoin might be less expensive than gold for the next five to fifteen years. However a lot of engineers argue that Bitcoin has time to improve gradually and that quantum risk is not immediate. Others think that instead of being sold recovered coins would probably be kept.

Long-term Bitcoin’s capacity to improve and robust institutional interest maintain a constructively bullish perspective despite the concerns while short-term uncertainty is created.

Ray Dalio’s world order warning revives case for Bitcoin as neutral money

The global system established following World War II is collapsing, according to billionaire investor Ray Dalio. He claims that a “law of the jungle” is emerging in which authority is more important than regulations. Dalio claims that the threats to existing financial institutions are growing as a result of growing conflicts, trade tensions, sanctions and money printing.

He clarified that governments tend to issue more money rather than permit defaults when they are confronted with economic strain and widening income inequality. The value of current currencies is lowered as a result. As a result investors are once again considering non-government-dependent assets like gold and Bitcoin.

There is evidence to support this notion. The money supply has expanded significantly over time and previous Bitcoin rallies have frequently occurred during these times. There is a growing demand in neutral borderless assets as political control over money expands.

Dalio’s warning is encouraging for Bitcoin enhancing its reputation as a permissionless impartial medium of exchange in the face of prolonged currency devaluation and world unrest.

Metaplanet revenue jumps 738% as Bitcoin generates 95% of sales

When the Japanese public company Metaplanet switched to Bitcoin it claimed a huge increase in revenue. Revenue increased 738% from just $7 million to around $58 million in its 2025 results report. This expansion followed the company’s introduction of its Bitcoin revenue segment which currently accounts for 95% of overall revenue. Bitcoin options trading which has supplanted its previous hotel and media activities accounts for the majority of this revenue.

Metaplanet reported a $619 million net loss despite making about $40 million in operating profit. Since the price decline of Bitcoin decreased the value of its substantial BTC holdings on paper accounting regulations were primarily to blame for this loss.

In spite of this, the business grew its Bitcoin holdings from 1,762 BTC to 35,102 BTC, surpassing all other corporate Bitcoin holders in Japan. Metaplanet intends to continue purchasing and retaining Bitcoin in the long run.

Bitcoin benefits from this decision which demonstrates robust institutional confidence and long-term faith in the cryptocurrency despite short-term price volatility.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: $68,000 Under Pressure – Breakdown to $63,459 or Rebound Toward $72,135?

BTC/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
BTC/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Bitcoin is trading near $68,143 on the 2-hour chart, compressing beneath a descending trendline within a broader falling channel. Price remains capped below the $69,244 resistance and the 50-EMA, while the 200-EMA near $72,135 reinforces the bearish structure.

The key short-term level is $67,172 (0.236 Fib). A clean break below this exposes $63,459, with deeper downside risk toward $59,991. On the upside, reclaiming $69,244 could trigger a squeeze toward $71,601 and $75,238 (0.5 Fib).

Momentum remains fragile as lower highs persist.

Trade idea: Sell below $67,150, target $63,500, stop above $69,300.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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