Daily Crypto Signals: Bitcoin Battles $65K Support, Ethereum Eyes $2,500 as Institutional RWA Demand Surges
Bitcoin is fighting to hold critical support between $63,000 and $65,000 as analysts warn of further downside toward $52,500, while Ethereum
Quick overview
- Bitcoin is struggling to maintain support between $63,000 and $65,000, with analysts predicting potential declines to $52,500.
- Ethereum is trading near $1,985, bolstered by institutional interest, including Harvard's $87 million investment in an ETH ETF.
- Despite a challenging market, tokenized real-world assets have surged by 13.5%, with Ethereum leading in net asset gains.
- Poland's regulatory uncertainty continues as a second MiCA bill was vetoed, leaving crypto platforms without clear guidelines.
Bitcoin BTC/USD is fighting to hold critical support between $63,000 and $65,000 as analysts warn of further downside toward $52,500, while Ethereum ETH/USD trades near $1,985 with growing institutional signals, including Harvard’s $87 million ETH ETF position and BlackRock’s new staking product, pointing toward a potential recovery to $2,500.
Crypto Market Developments
Not every part of the ecosystem is suffering equally, but the larger cryptocurrency market is going through a difficult time. Despite strong selling pressure on cryptocurrency markets, tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) increased 13.5% over the last 30 days. Ethereum led network growth with net tokenized asset gains of almost $1.7 billion, followed by Arbitrum and Solana. Government debt and tokenized US Treasurys have been the main drivers of the onchain RWA’s recent surge to over $20 billion.
A second MiCA implementation bill, Bill 2064, was vetoed by Polish President Karol Nawrocki on the regulatory front, stating that it was “practically identical” to the first law that he had rejected in December. Polish crypto platforms are now even more unclear ahead of the EU’s July 1, 2026, MiCA changeover date because the nation still lacks a defined regulatory body for crypto monitoring. Both laws have been opposed by industry representatives; legislator Tomasz Mentzen has referred to them as extreme “overregulation” that could stifle the industry.
In the meantime, there is a new danger for users of hardware wallets. Customers of Trezor and Ledger are reporting receiving physical scam letters, complete with holograms and QR codes that point to phony websites, requesting “Authentication Checks” or threatening device restrictions. Because nervous people are more vulnerable to fear-based approaches, cybersecurity experts caution that social-engineering frauds frequently get more intense during market downturns.
Bitcoin Bottoming Between the Averages
The 200-week simple moving average, which is at $68,300, and the 200-week exponential moving average, which is at $58,400, are two key levels that are now being monitored intently by Bitcoin. These two trendlines have historically produced significant Bitcoin bottoms, which has led some experts to speculate that BTC might be building a long-lasting floor.
The situation is far from resolved, though. Noting that Bitcoin runs the risk of losing that level and causing more declines, analyst Rekt Capital issued a warning that closing above the 200-week EMA for two weeks in a row does not ensure safety. Ted Pillows, a trader, established a more distinct line in the sand: a daily close above $71,000 would strengthen the bulls’ position, while a fall below $66,000 may cause Bitcoin to return to $60,000.
The most important battleground in the foreseeable future has turned out to be the $63,000–$65,000 range. According to Glassnode’s cost-based distribution data, long-term investors amassed over 372,240 BTC throughout that time, demonstrating significant on-chain support. However, a clear break below $65,000 would probably pave the way for Bitcoin to reach its realized price of about $55,000, with $52,500 serving as a backup target if $60,000 doesn’t hold. With nine out of 10 CME gaps having been filled since August 2025, an unfilled gap between $80,000 and $84,000 is still a possible magnet on the upside. Bulls are focusing on this range as the crucial level for a comeback rally.
Ethereum’s Institutional Rotation and RWA Dominance
Traders are looking for a catalyst since Ethereum is trading close to $1,985 and hasn’t been able to recover the $2,500 mark since January 31. Net outflows from spot Ether ETFs totaled $327 million in February; while this amount may seem alarming, it actually represents less than 3% of all ETF assets under management. The strategic actions taking place behind the clamor are more telling. In Q4 2025, Harvard’s endowment revealed a $87 million stake in BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust. This significant vote of confidence coincided with the fund’s reduction of its Bitcoin ETF holdings from $443 million to $266 million, marking a significant institutional rotation from BTC to ETH.
This week, BlackRock also made changes to its proposed Staked Ethereum ETF, keeping a low expense ratio of 0.25% and retaining 18% of staking profits as service fees. Analysts see this structure as beneficial for widespread cryptocurrency access. Ethereum’s leadership in the RWA space enhances its long-term investment case, independent of ETF developments.
With around $5.2 billion in tokenized Treasurys, bonds, and money market funds alone, the network houses tokenized offerings from BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, Fidelity, and Franklin Templeton. Comparatively speaking, the combined RWA listings on BNB Chain and Solana only amount to $4.2 billion. This indicates that institutional capital places a higher priority on network security than reduced transaction fees and provides a solid basis for ETH’s possible recovery back toward $2,500.
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