Silver Price Outlook: Can XAG/USD Break $33.24 on Trade Hopes?

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading at $33.09, above the 50-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $32.85.

Quick overview

  • Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading at $33.09, supported by the 50-hour Exponential Moving Average at $32.85.
  • The upcoming high-level US-China trade talks are fostering cautious optimism among investors, potentially impacting global trade and industrial metals like silver.
  • Key technical levels for silver include immediate resistance at $33.24 and support at the 50-hour EMA of $32.85.
  • Traders are advised to consider a long position above $32.87 with a target of $33.24 and a stop-loss below the 50-hour EMA.

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading at $33.09, above the 50-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $32.85. This level has been a short-term pivot and is supporting the upward momentum. The recent rally comes after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are set to meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva this weekend, the first high-level talks since the US-China trade war escalated.

Investors are cautiously optimistic, hoping for a breakthrough to ease global trade tensions. China’s Ministry of Commerce has confirmed it’s ready to engage, balancing domestic interests with US proposals. This could revive global trade flows and support industrial metals like silver, a proxy for economic sentiment.

Silver Technical Picture: Key Levels to Watch

Silver is still positive, above the 50-hour EMA. The rising trendline, a series of higher lows, is bullish. The MACD has also confirmed this, above zero, so buyers are in control.

  • Resistance: Immediate resistance at $33.24, if broken could open up to $33.46.

  • Support: 50-hour EMA at $32.85, stronger support at $32.67.

Trade Setup

For new traders to get in:

Silver Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Silver Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
  • Entry: Long above $32.87, targeting $33.24.

  • Stop-Loss: Set stop below 50-hour EMA at $32.80.

  • Take-Profit: $33.46 for a good risk-reward.

A break above $33.24 could attract more buying and push prices to $33.70. But if it fails to hold, it could be a deeper pullback to $32.67.

Final Thoughts

As silver traders navigate this mixed environment, the next move will be dependent on the outcome of these high-level trade talks and the Federal Reserve meeting this week. Silver is a favorite for those looking for safe-haven assets but the direction of the US Dollar and macro policy will be key for the short-term.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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