XRP Price Prediction: $125M SEC Deal Fuels Rebound Toward $2.24 Breakout

Ripple and the SEC are wrapping up one of crypto’s biggest legal battles. In a joint filing to a Manhattan federal court...

Quick overview

  • Ripple and the SEC are proposing to dissolve an injunction and release a $125 million civil penalty, pending court approval.
  • A favorable outcome for Ripple could facilitate institutional partnerships and regulatory clarity in the crypto industry.
  • Following the legal update, XRP experienced a 3.85% decline, but trading volume surged by 58% as traders reacted to the news.
  • XRP's technical outlook shows potential for recovery, with resistance levels identified between $2.183 and $2.213.

Ripple and the SEC are wrapping up one of crypto’s biggest legal battles. In a joint filing to a Manhattan federal court, both sides are proposing to dissolve the injunction and release the $125 million civil penalty held in escrow. Ripple would get to keep $75 million and the SEC would get $50 million—pending Judge Analisa Torres approval.

If approved, both sides will ask for a limited remand to the Second Circuit Court of Appeals to formalize the relief. Former SEC attorney James Farrell notes this could be a big step towards Ripple clearing legal hurdles that have been holding up institutional partnerships including rumored IPO plans and re-engagement with banking giants like Bank of America.

This comes as the SEC is shifting towards a more conciliatory approach to crypto enforcement under Chair Gary Gensler. A favorable outcome for Ripple could mean broader industry clarity and regulatory alignment.

 

XRP/USD

XRP Market Reacts With Heavy Volume

After the legal update, XRP dropped to $2.14—a 3.85% decline. But daily volume surged 58% as traders get nervous. While short-term traders got spooked, long-term investors are cautiously optimistic as institutions digest the regulatory shift.

This volume spike suggests traders are positioning for resolution-driven volatility. Hope is that dissolving the injunction means a fresh start for Ripple’s public and private sector plans as the legal clouds lift.

XRP Technical Outlook: Recovery Eyes $2.24

XRP is at $2.153 after bouncing from $2.085. A morning star reversal pattern has formed near the 23.6% Fib level ($2.146), indicating buying interest. MACD histogram is bullish but still needs confirmation.

XRP Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
XRP Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Resistance is between $2.183 and $2.213, with 50% Fib and EMA clusters as technical ceilings. Break above $2.213 could mean retest of 200-EMA and 61.8% Fib confluence at $2.243-$2.245.

Trade Setup:

  • Entry: Above $2.183-$2.213 on strong close
  • Stop-loss: Below $2.146* 1: $2.213
  • 2: $2.243
  • Risk: Moderate; wait for MACD confirmation
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Maham Arslan
Crypto News Writer | Blockchain & Web3 Reporter
Maham is a crypto news writer and market analyst specializing in breaking down the latest developments across blockchain, digital assets, and decentralized finance (DeFi). With hands-on experience covering high-impact stories—from regulatory shifts and token launches to macro-driven price movements—she delivers timely, accurate, and SEO-optimized content for fast-growing crypto media platforms. Her expertise lies in producing daily news reports, price predictions, technical summaries, and coverage of market-moving events. Maham tracks real-time updates across global newswires, X (Twitter), and on-chain data to provide actionable insights tailored for retail traders, crypto enthusiasts, and institutional readers. With a strong grasp of crypto fundamentals and Web3 trends, she delivers content that’s informed, accessible, and always on time.

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