Hawkish Fed Cage Gold despite Israel-Iran Fight

The bullion asset headed for its first weekly decline in three weeks as a Federal Reserve inflation warning increased the likelihood of fewer rate cuts

Quick overview

  • Bullion is set for its first weekly decline in three weeks, dropping 0.5% to close at $3,353 an ounce due to a Federal Reserve inflation warning and reduced haven demand.
  • President Trump is expected to decide within two weeks on joining Israel's attacks on Iran, which could impact energy supplies and inflation.
  • Despite a year-to-date increase of over 25%, gold may face challenges in maintaining its value if the Federal Reserve struggles to lower interest rates.
  • Major Wall Street banks have differing forecasts for gold's future, with Goldman Sachs predicting $4,000 per ounce and Citigroup expecting prices to fall below $3,000 by 2026.

The bullion asset headed for its first weekly decline in three weeks as a Federal Reserve inflation warning increased the likelihood of fewer rate cuts, and a slight defusing of Middle East geopolitical tensions drained haven demand. Bullion dropped 0.5 percent to close at $3,353 an ounce on Friday, giving it a weekly decline of over 2 percent.

AngloGold Posts Blowout Q1 as Production and Gold Price Jump

President Donald Trump will decide within two weeks whether to join Israel’s attacks on Iran, which jeopardize energy supplies and increase inflation. Tensions subsided after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell warned earlier in the week that Trump’s tariff agenda would have an impact on inflation.

XAU/USD is an asset that doesn’t generate interest and typically performs better in low-interest-rate environments. It may struggle if the central bank faces challenges in lowering borrowing costs.

The precious metal is still up more than 25% this year and remains close to the April record of just over $3,500. However, given the high levels of bullion, there have been indications this week that investors favor platinum as a haven play.

Major Wall Street banks have expressed differing opinions regarding whether gold can sustain its record-breaking rally. Goldman Sachs. reiterated a prediction of $4,000 per ounce by the following year, while Citigroup Inc. claimed prices would fall below $3,000 in 2026. At $3,354 per ounce, spot gold fell 0.5 percent. Despite a 0.1 percent decline, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index is still up for the week. Palladium marginally changed, but silver and platinum declined.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Olumide Adesina
Financial Market Writer
Olumide Adesina is a French-born Nigerian financial writer. He tracks the financial markets with over 15 years of working experience in investment trading.

Related Articles

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers