Crypto Market Cap Drops to $2.93T, Analysts Warn of 20% Further Losses

The Cryptocurrency market capitalisation has just plumbed the depths to $2.93 trillion - a figure which is only comparable...

Quick overview

  • The cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped to $2.93 trillion, erasing nearly all gains from this year and reflecting a 14% year-to-date decline.
  • Analysts attribute the downturn to macroeconomic strains, risk-averse investors, and the inevitability of market corrections, with many believing we are in a bear market.
  • Despite the grim outlook, some analysts see the current downturn as an opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate strong projects.
  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at a low of 16, indicating extreme fear, which historically suggests potential upside for patient investors.

The Cryptocurrency market capitalisation has just plumbed the depths to $2.93 trillion – a figure which is only comparable to the lowest point we saw way back in April, and that’s wiped out almost all of this year’s gains to boot. This represents about a 14% drop in value year-to-date, with the bad news being that it’s also down about a third from its early October peak of $4.4 trillion.

The market has been stuck in a rut since March 2024, spending most of its time teetering between a ceiling of $2.5 trillion and record highs. We briefly saw it dip back to that $2.5 trillion mark in April, only for it to rebound to a record high before crashing back down.

  • Market cap fell to $2.93 trillion late on Thursday, says CoinGecko.

  • Analysts point to a combination of macroeconomic strains, risk-averse investors, and the inevitability of market corrections as the main culprits.

  • A lot of people are convinced we’re already deep in a bear market.

Short-Term Pain Expected

Market analysts are on high alert for the moment, what with all the uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan’s recent rate hike to 0.75% – the highest in 3 decades. Michaël van de Poppe of MN Fund is warning that Crypto has more short-term drops ahead before it stabilises.

Bitcoin did respond slightly to the Bank of Japan’s move, edging up to $87,821, but van de Poppe says we could see a full-blown “capitulation” phase within 24 hours, which could trigger a 10-20% drop in altcoins.

  • It’s looking more bearish by the day.

  • Liquidity pressures & macroeconomic uncertainty are weighing heavily on the market sentiment.

  • Traders are bracing for volatility across markets in the coming days.

Pullback Offers Strategic Buying

Even though things are looking grim, a few analysts say the downturn actually presents a great opportunity to pick up some fundamentally strong projects. Nick Ruck of LVRG Research points out that volatility always provides opportunities for long-term accumulation – especially as Institutional interest continues to grow.

Retail traders are almost entirely cautious at the moment – according to Santiment, social commentary is dominated by fear after a brief spike to $90.2K, then slumping to $84.8K. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at a very low 16, indicating “extreme fear,” and has been below 30 since November.

  • Extreme fear could actually signal an upside for patient investors.

  • Historically, the market tends to move in the opposite direction of Retail sentiment.

  • Strong projects may be attracting institutional investment despite all the short-term drops we are seeing.

This whole situation is a critical juncture for Crypto: short-term volatility and macro risks are currently stealing the headlines, but for patient long-term investors, strategic positioning during these fear-driven downturns may be a great way to capture significant gains as the market matures.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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