Oil Consolidating In A Range Between Two MAs Before the Breakout

Oil prices have been climbing relentlessly in the last month or so. The climb accelerated by the end of last week and the beginning of this


Oil prices have been climbing relentlessly in the last month or so. The climb accelerated by the end of last week and the beginning of this week, but in the last few days, Oil prices have been consolidating around the $57 region, give or take half a cent.

 

Is this a consolidation before the next breakout higher?

 

As you can see from the hourly Oil chart above, the consolidation started on Tuesday. It has formed a descending range since then and yesterday US Oil entered an area between two moving averages.

The 50 SMA (yellow) is now standing at the top providing resistance, while the 100 SMA (green) is at the bottom. The price is having difficulties breaking above the 50 SMA, but the downside doesn’t look too favorable either.

The price is moving away from the bottom line of the range and the 100 SMA is moving higher as time goes by. Soon it will reach the price and provide more support. So, this looks more like a bullish flag to me. If the bullish flag is to work as explained in forex textbooks, then the next move higher is coming up.     

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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