IMF Turns More Optimistic About China’s Economic Growth in 2019

The IMF has upgraded its 2019 growth forecast for the Chinese economy over improving trade tensions between US and China.

US China Deal

The IMF has upgraded its 2019 growth forecast for the Chinese economy over improving trade tensions between US and China. IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook Report projects China’s growth could touch 6.3% this year, up from the previous estimate of 6.2%.

The world’s second biggest economy had grown by 6.6% in 2018, a setback after achieving record growth rates for the past 28 years. IMF’s economic counselor, Gita Gopinath, remarks in the report that China’s fiscal and monetary stimulus efforts have countered the negative impact of the tariffs imposed by the US. In addition, she states that as trade tensions between US and China ease and a trade deal comes into place, things could start looking up for the Chinese economy.

However, it’s not a completely rosy picture for China in the report – IMF has downgraded economic growth projections for 2020 from 6.2% to 6.1%. This has been done taking into consideration other downside risks, including a possibility of tensions related to trade flaring up again, and possible disruptions in global supply chains of industries.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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