PLTR Stock Soars on Federal Contracts, Then Pulls Back: Is the Rally Intact?

PLTR Stock Soars on Federal Contracts, Then Pulls Back: Is the Rally Intact?

Palantir Recovers After Hawkish Fed, Trump Boost

Quick overview

  • Palantir Technologies has gained significant investor attention by outperforming the broader tech market, driven by federal contracts and AI demand.
  • Despite a recent pullback, Palantir's stock remains in a bullish trend, having established a new short-term breakout above its previous peak.
  • The company's integration with U.S. federal agencies, including a $795 million contract with the Department of Defense, is fueling its momentum.
  • Palantir's stock has surged 300% since November and shows potential for further growth as it aligns its technology with federal policy initiatives.

Palantir Technologies is drawing significant investor attention as it outperforms the broader tech market, powered by federal contracts and AI demand—even as it faces short-term volatility.

Palantir Breaks Out Amid Broader Tech Weakness

Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) stood out last week as one of the few major tech names delivering gains while the rest of the sector faced heavy selling pressure. While chipmakers and cloud giants pulled back on broader concerns over valuations and interest rates, Palantir surged more than 7% intraday Friday, reaching a session peak of $131.53.

The bullish momentum carried into early this week, briefly driving the stock as high as $135.28 before encountering resistance and retreating to the mid-$125 range in recent trading.

PLTR Stock Chart Daily – Previous High Turned Into SupportChart PLTR, D1, 2025.06.04 17:10 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Despite the pullback of about 5.5% on the day—dropping from $133.17 to $125.58—the overall trend for PLTR remains decisively upward. Notably, last week’s rally pushed Palantir well above its previous February peak of $125.41, establishing a new short-term breakout and solidifying its position in bullish territory.

Government Deals Power Palantir’s Momentum

A large part of the enthusiasm surrounding Palantir stems from its deepening integration with U.S. federal agencies. The White House recently unveiled a sweeping initiative to overhaul the government’s data infrastructure—an area where Palantir’s software solutions are highly relevant. The plan prioritizes enhanced inter-agency data sharing, something Palantir’s platforms are specifically built for.

In March, the company secured a staggering $795 million contract with the Department of Defense, one of the largest in its history. This is in addition to the over $113 million in known federal contracts the company has accumulated since the Trump administration. Current discussions with the IRS and Social Security Administration, along with active engagements with the Department of Homeland Security, suggest that Palantir’s role in the federal tech ecosystem is expanding rapidly.

A Stock on a Tear

Palantir’s share price performance reflects the mounting investor optimism. Since November, PLTR stock has climbed an impressive 300%. Year-to-date, it’s up over 70%. And over the past year, the stock has delivered a staggering return of 500%, fueled by AI tailwinds, strong federal demand, and sustained interest from both institutional and retail investors.

Outlook: Even with its recent dip, the stock remains in bullish formation, and profit-taking at new highs is not unexpected. The long-term trajectory still appears solid, supported by a growing backlog of high-profile government deals and broader AI integration across industries. If Palantir continues to align its technology with federal policy initiatives, especially in national defense and data modernization, the stock could not only reclaim recent highs but also aim for new ones beyond the $150 mark.

Conclusion:
Palantir’s exceptional run, underscored by strategic federal partnerships and its dominant role in AI analytics, is a case study in how focused execution and policy alignment can drive outperformance—even in a struggling sector. While some near-term volatility is expected, the long-term case for PLTR remains compelling.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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