SMCI Stock Snaps Out of Slump: Breaks 50-Day SMA With 9% Super Micro Surge

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is staging a sharp rebound, climbing nearly 10% in a single session as investor sentiment shifts after..

SMCI Stock Rebounds 10% as Buyers Return After August’s Slide

Quick overview

  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has rebounded nearly 10% after breaking above the 50-day SMA, which had been a resistance point since August.
  • The stock's recovery follows a significant selloff triggered by disappointing Q2 2025 earnings, which saw a 30% drop in market value.
  • Despite competitive pressures from Alibaba's AI chip development, buying support has stabilized SMCI shares around critical support levels.
  • The recent surge indicates renewed investor confidence, but future momentum will depend on addressing governance issues and competition in the AI sector.

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is staging a sharp rebound, climbing nearly 10% in a single session as investor sentiment shifts after weeks of selling pressure and technical resistance at the 50-day SMA finally gives way.

A Comeback After Heavy Selling

Despite broader strength in IT stocks today, SMCI stood out with a remarkable 10% jump, reclaiming the $50 mark and breaking above the 50-day SMA, which had acted as stubborn resistance since August’s rout.

The move comes as investors look beyond the recent Q2 2025 earnings disappointment, which initially triggered a steep selloff. Super Micro’s weak revenue, margins, and EPS during that quarter led to one of its biggest one-day plunges of the year, wiping out about 30% of its market value.

From August Slump to Early September Recovery

After reaching highs of $62, SMCI shares tumbled below $50, eventually testing critical support at around $42. That price zone helped stabilize the decline as buyers cautiously stepped in, though market sentiment remained fragile.

SMCI Daily Chart – Buyers Need to break the 100 SMAChart SMCI, D1, 2025.10.01 20:11 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Alibaba’s Chip Rumors Reignite Pressure

Just as the stock showed signs of finding its footing, late-August headlines about Alibaba’s development of an AI inference chip rattled investors. The news stoked competitive concerns, especially in the wake of Super Micro’s internal financial reporting issues, which raised fresh governance questions.

Fears of losing market share in the fast-growing AI infrastructure sector drove another round of selling that briefly dragged SMCI shares back below the $42 support level. However, determined buying support helped halt the slide and laid the groundwork for the current rebound.

Market Context: Risk-Off Flows Hit AI Stocks

Super Micro’s struggles unfolded amid broader volatility across semiconductor and AI-related stocks. Reports of Alibaba’s new chip rattled Nvidia (NVDA), widely seen as the sector’s bellwether, contributing to sharp losses in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq at the time.

The turbulence reflected a wave of risk-off flows hitting equities and tech names in particular, with investors seeking safety in bonds and cash.

Technical Breakout Inspires Fresh Optimism

Today’s surge above the 50-day SMA is a positive technical signal for traders betting on a sustained recovery. SMCI’s market capitalization—currently above $31 billion—could see significant swings if momentum builds or falters at these levels. So buyers need to break the 100 SMA (green) on the daily chart.

SMCI Weekly Chart – Buyers Need to break the 100 SMA Chart SMCI, W1, 2025.10.01 20:03 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

The rally reflects renewed buying interest, but investors remain alert to governance fixes, competitive developments, and any shifts in broader AI-sector sentiment that could influence the stock’s trajectory.

Outlook: Super Micro’s rebound suggests that buyers are regaining confidence, encouraged by technical strength and value considerations at recent lows. While the recovery is promising, maintaining upward momentum will depend on how effectively the company addresses governance concerns and fends off intensifying competition from rivals like Alibaba.

If the stock holds above its breakout level and sentiment continues to improve, SMCI may be poised for a more sustained rally after a turbulent summer.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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