Oklo Stock Soars as DOE Endorsement Fuels the Nuclear Energy Hype

Riding the surge of enthusiasm for advanced nuclear power, Oklo Inc. has emerged as one of Wall Street's most watched clean-energy companies

Oklo’s Nuclear Dream Faces Meltdown as Valuation Crumbles

Quick overview

  • Oklo Inc. shares surged nearly 20% to a record $174.28, marking a 1,635% rise over the past year and a 697% gain since January 2025.
  • The company's inclusion in the U.S. Department of Energy's pilot initiative has fueled investor optimism about its future in advanced nuclear solutions.
  • Despite its impressive stock performance, Oklo remains pre-revenue and faces significant financial challenges, including high operating losses and cash burn.
  • Investor confidence is bolstered by strategic partnerships and government support, but the company's long commercialization path may test patience.

Riding the surge of enthusiasm for advanced nuclear power, Oklo Inc. has emerged as one of Wall Street’s most watched clean-energy companies, despite having no revenue and a long commercialization path ahead.

Oklo Hits Record Valuation

Oklo Inc. shares surged nearly 20% on Monday to a record $174.28, lifting the company’s market value to roughly $25.74 billion. The move caps a 1,635% rise in the past 12 months and an astonishing 697% gain since January 2025, cementing Oklo as one of the year’s top-performing energy stocks.

The rally intensified after Canaccord Genuity initiated coverage with a buy rating and a $175 price target, citing Oklo’s leadership in small modular reactor (SMR) technology. This was coupled with news that the company had been selected for a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) pilot initiative — a dual boost that fueled investor optimism about Oklo’s future role in next-generation nuclear solutions.

OKLO Chart Daily – Pushing Above September’s Highs

While analysts caution that the stock’s valuation appears disconnected from near-term fundamentals, market enthusiasm reflects growing faith that Oklo could play a transformative role in America’s shift toward carbon-free power generation.

DOE Pilot Program Sparks Renewed Momentum

A key driver behind the latest surge was Oklo’s inclusion in the DOE’s Advanced Nuclear Fuel Line Pilot Project, which aims to develop three fuel-fabrication facilities to accelerate domestic nuclear capacity. Oklo was selected alongside three peers to build and operate these next-gen fuel plants — a major validation from the federal government.

This recognition builds on Oklo’s participation in the DOE Reactor Pilot Program, a project designed to support small-scale nuclear deployment. The announcement reignited buying interest, propelling the stock up 11% last Thursday to $128.80, before extending gains this week to fresh record highs.

Partnerships Fuel Investor Excitement

Investor confidence in Oklo’s long-term vision has also been reinforced by several high-profile partnerships and government-linked projects. Among them:

  • A $1.68 billion nuclear fuel-recycling facility in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, expected to create 800 jobs by the early 2030s.
  • A clean-energy supply contract with the U.S. Air Force, bolstering Oklo’s position in the federal energy ecosystem.
  • Ongoing negotiations with the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) to expand nuclear fuel-recycling capacity and enhance domestic supply chains.
  • Support from the U.S.–U.K. Atlantic Partnership for Advanced Nuclear Power, a multi-billion-dollar initiative aimed at accelerating low-carbon nuclear technologies for industrial applications.

These alliances underscore Oklo’s strategic importance to Western energy independence and reinforce its potential to become a cornerstone in the future nuclear landscape.

Volatility Mirrors Market Caution

Despite the extraordinary rise, Oklo’s stock remains volatile. After a 67% rally in September that briefly pushed shares above $144, the price dropped 17% to below $110 before rebounding on the DOE news. The quick recovery to $146.40, and then $174, illustrates how tightly Oklo’s valuation is tied to sentiment around nuclear policy, regulation, and funding developments.

Such sharp swings suggest that while enthusiasm is strong, the market remains hyper-reactive to any sign of progress—or potential delay—across the company’s ambitious projects.

Financial Headwinds Cloud the Outlook

Beneath the hype, Oklo’s financials reveal a far more precarious picture. The company remains pre-revenue, operating with a cash reserve of $683 million from recent capital raises. In the second quarter of 2025, Oklo reported a net loss of $0.18 per share, exceeding analyst expectations due to heavy R&D expenditures and integration costs tied to its Atomic Alchemy acquisition.

Its $28 million quarterly operating loss and projected $65–80 million annual cash burn underscore the steep costs of developing and commercializing advanced nuclear technology. Analysts warn that extended regulatory delays could further inflate development expenses and push back the company’s first revenue-generating projects.

If approvals take longer than expected, Oklo may be forced to raise additional capital—through equity dilution or new debt—potentially weighing on future shareholder returns.

Investor Patience to Be Tested

Oklo’s story embodies both the promise and peril of next-generation nuclear power. The company stands at the forefront of a clean-energy transformation, bolstered by federal support and partnerships that strengthen its technological credibility. Yet, with no commercial product in operation, Oklo’s valuation depends heavily on future success that remains years away.

As excitement over government programs and SMR innovation continues to drive speculation, investors may face an extended wait before financial results catch up to market expectations. For now, Oklo remains a symbol of nuclear optimism—and a test of how far that optimism can carry a company with no revenue, but boundless ambition.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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