XRP Set for Historic ETF Launch: Potential $5 Rally Ahead?
XRP maintains stability above $2.40 as first US spot XRP ETF begins trading, while mixed on-chain signals and technical formations point
Quick overview
- XRP remains stable above $2.40 as the first US spot XRP ETF begins trading, marking a significant regulatory milestone.
- Technical analysis indicates a falling wedge pattern, with a crucial breakout level at $2.88 that could signal bullish momentum.
- On-chain signals show mixed investor behavior, with retail accumulation contrasting with whale selling ahead of the ETF launch.
- Cautious optimism surrounds XRP's price prediction, as institutional interest and market dynamics could drive prices towards $5 if key support levels hold.
XRP XRP/USD maintains stability above $2.40 as first US spot XRP ETF begins trading, while mixed on-chain signals and technical formations point to pivotal price movement ahead.
Historic Regulatory Milestone Reshapes XRP Landscape
On November 13, 2025, XRP entered a new phase as Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF began trading on Nasdaq under the ticker XRPC. This was the first spot XRP exchange-traded fund to be listed on a US market. XRP is currently trading at $2.41, which has been stable for the past 24 hours, even if there has been some volatility around the monumental clearance.
The Securities Act of 1933 made it possible for the listing to go through automatically, and Nasdaq Regulation certified it on November 12. This change ends years of regulatory uncertainty for Ripple and puts XRP in the same category as Bitcoin and Ethereum as a digital asset that institutions can buy through standard investment vehicles.
The number of ETFs has grown quickly, and the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation website presently lists eleven XRP-focused products. Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and CoinShares are some of the biggest financial companies that have applied for XRP ETFs. This shows that more institutions are becoming confident after the SEC gave detailed advice in July 2025. This rise in regulated products shows that Wall Street is becoming more interested in altcoins outside Bitcoin.
XRP/USD Technical Outlook: Falling Wedge Pattern Eyes $2.88 Breakout
Technical analysis shows that XRP is trading in a falling wedge pattern, with $2.88 being the most important level for a breakout. A strong closure above this level could mean that bullish momentum is back and that prices could rise even more quickly. On the other hand, if support around $2.31 is lost, the price might drop much more to $2.06, making the current price level a key decision point for market participants.
Guy on the Earth, a crypto analyst, pointed out that XRP has successfully defended the $2.20 support zone despite recent market turbulence. This puts the token “slap bang mid-range” as it aims to retest the $2.63 to $2.72 resistance zone. The analyst stressed the importance of keeping the $2.20 floor, saying that if it breaks below, prices could fall to the $1.90 to $2.00 region.
The expert, on the other hand, still believes that “recent lows are already in” and that XRP is slowly getting ready for a breakthrough to the upside. XRP is currently trading close to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. It is at a technical crossroads where the next move might set the tone for the next few weeks.
Some people who watch the market think that it might rise to $5 in the fourth quarter of 2025, which would be a 108% increase from where it is now. For this to happen, institutional investors would need to keep putting money into the new ETF products and exchanges would need to keep lowering their supply.
Mixed On-Chain Signals Reveal Divergent Investor Behavior
On-chain indicators show that the market’s mood is complicated as the ETF launch date approaches. Glassnode data shows that more than 216 million XRP (about $556 million) left exchanges in the week before the announcement. This suggests that investors who prefer to hold their coins rather than trade them are accumulating them, which is usually seen as a bullish indicator.
But whale activity offers a different story. In the two days before launch, large holders sold 10 million XRP (about $25 million), and by November 10, long-term holders had sold 135.8 million XRP, which is a 32% rise in daily outflows since early November. People who are taking profits may be doing so because they expect a “sell the news” occurrence, when traders leave their holdings after a widely expected catalyst happens.
CryptoQuant says that active XRP addresses have reached three-month highs, which means that more people are using the network and retail demand has picked up again. The Cumulative Volume Delta has turned bullish, which means that there has been more buying pressure than selling in the last few sessions. This is a good sign because it is different from the cautious conduct of whales.
The derivatives markets have cooled off a lot. By November 12, open interest in XRP futures had dropped from early November highs to near recent lows. This drop in leveraged positions could make the market less volatile in the short term as traders wait to see how the ETF debut will affect things.
Corporate Accumulation Strategy Offers Alternative Entry Point
Adam Traidman, the Chairman of the Board of Advisors for VivoPower International, talked about an unusual way to get XRP exposure at big discounts at the XRP Meetup NYC. The ex-Ripple board member talked about a “DAT 2.0” plan that entails buying XRP exposure at what he says is an 84% discount through corporate finance structures linked to Ripple’s equities instead of buying it directly on the market.
Traidman said that first-generation digital asset treasury businesses that traded at prices higher than their net asset value have gone out of business 80–90% of the time in the past few months, which has opened up prospects for second-generation tactics. VivoPower wants to make money from day one by getting underlying exposure through Ripple-linked mechanisms and then making money on networks like Flare. This way, the market doesn’t have to give the operating company a premium.
XRP Price Prediction: Cautious Optimism Amid Catalysts
This week, XRP is at a very important point since several bullish catalysts are coming together. The debut of the ETF gives institutional investors a way to invest that is regulated, and the end of the current government shutdown may make things less unclear for regulators. But history shows that care is needed. When REX-Osprey’s XRP futures ETF launched in September, the token rose 18% before the launch, but then fell when traders took profits.
There is a lot going on right now, including technical resistance at $2.63-$2.72, retail investors buying more on-chain, whale distribution, and the debut of the ETF. If XRP can clearly break above $2.88 with a lot of institutional money coming in, it will be possible to get to $5. But if it doesn’t hold the $2.31 support, it could go back to the $2.00-$2.20 zone before trying to go up again.
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