Apple Stock Heads to $200 as Political Scrutiny AI Spending and Siri Delay Raise Concerns

Apple’s powerful rally has abruptly reversed as political controversy, Siri delays, and mounting AI spending concerns shake investor...

From Record Highs to Reset: Apple Faces AI and Regulatory Headwinds

Quick overview

  • Apple's stock has seen a significant decline due to rising political controversy and regulatory scrutiny, with shares dropping over 5% in one session.
  • Delays in the rollout of Siri 2.0 have frustrated investors, pushing the expected launch to May 2026 and raising concerns about Apple's ability to innovate in AI.
  • Institutional investors are trimming their exposure to Apple amid a broader rotation away from mega-cap tech stocks, reflecting growing caution in the market.
  • Despite solid financial performance, including a 16% revenue increase, investor sentiment is fragile due to uncertainties surrounding AI investments and political risks.

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Apple’s powerful rally has abruptly reversed as political controversy, Siri delays, and mounting AI spending concerns shake investor confidence.

Rally Reverses Amid Political Controversy

Apple Inc. saw its recent momentum unravel quickly, with shares dropping more than 5% in one session and sliding another 2.5% the following day. The selloff was not triggered by earnings weakness, but by rising political and regulatory tension.

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) issued a warning letter to Apple regarding its Apple News platform. FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson publicly called on CEO Tim Cook to review allegations that the platform may be promoting left-leaning publications while suppressing conservative outlets.

Apple has not formally responded, but the episode introduces fresh reputational and regulatory risk at a time when large technology companies already face heightened scrutiny. Even unproven allegations can weigh heavily on sentiment, particularly for a company trading at a premium valuation.

Siri 2.0 Delayed Again

Adding to investor frustration, Apple’s long-awaited Siri overhaul has reportedly been postponed once more due to technical challenges. According to Bloomberg, the initial version of Siri 2.0 is now expected in May 2026, with additional features rolling out in September.

The gradual timeline risks disappointing consumers and investors who have grown accustomed to faster AI rollouts from competitors. In a market that rewards visible innovation momentum, delays can undermine confidence—even if execution ultimately proves disciplined.

The concern is not merely about timing. It is about whether Apple can deliver differentiated AI capabilities at scale without sacrificing its hallmark reliability and privacy standards.

Technical Picture Continues to Weaken

Technically, Apple’s chart shows that the stock fell below both its 50-day (yellow) and 100-day (green) simple moving averages during the late 2025 tech selloff, but the $240 level held convincingly, helped by the 200 SMA (red) which acted as support.

AAPL Chart Daily – Returning to the 50 SMAChart AAPL, D1, 2026.02.14 01:46 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

The stock rebounded strongly in late January and on Friday AAPL soared above $280, clearly breaking above the 50 daily SMA (yellow) so AAPL stock approached the early December highs above $288. However, investors seem cautious to make a new record high, so we saw a pullback earlier this week as AI spending costs bring back margin fears, while the new events have tumbled AAPL stock down to $255.50.

Institutions Trim Exposure

The controversy has coincided with broader rotation away from mega-cap technology stocks. Several institutional investors have reportedly reduced their Apple positions in recent disclosures.

While some of these adjustments may reflect routine portfolio rebalancing, the pattern reinforces a growing sense of caution. After years of outperformance, Apple’s valuation leaves little room for unexpected controversy or execution missteps.

The broader narrative around AI has also shifted. Rapid advancements in generative models have revived debates about pricing pressure across software markets, with some arguing that AI assistants could compress margins in traditional subscription-based services. While such concerns may prove exaggerated, they highlight how quickly enthusiasm can morph into skepticism.

AI Spending Raises Strategic Questions

CEO Tim Cook has described AI as “one of the most profound opportunities of our lifetime,” and Apple is embedding AI capabilities across its ecosystem. The company’s acquisition of Israeli startup Q.ai, focused on advanced human-computer interaction, underscores its long-term commitment.

However, competing in AI is capital-intensive. Investment in custom silicon, data infrastructure, and specialized talent carries rising costs. Across the technology sector, investors are increasingly questioning whether the scale of AI spending is aligned with near-term monetization potential.

While AI remains a transformative force, its commercial trajectory is not linear. Returns may take longer to materialize than optimistic projections suggest. For a company of Apple’s size, even incremental margin pressure can translate into meaningful earnings sensitivity.

Caution is particularly warranted in assessing AI timelines. History shows that breakthrough technologies often experience periods of overinvestment before sustainable revenue models emerge.

Strong Results Overshadowed

Ironically, Apple’s underlying financial performance remains solid. In its latest quarterly report, revenue climbed 16% year over year to $143.8 billion, while earnings per share reached $2.84. Net income rose to $42.1 billion.

The iPhone segment generated record revenue of $85.3 billion, up more than 20%, while services revenue grew 14% to approximately $30 billion, reinforcing the strength of its recurring income streams.

Apple also maintains a well-covered dividend of $1.04 annually, supported by robust free cash flow. However, with a modest yield near 0.4%, the dividend offers limited downside protection during volatility.

A More Fragile Backdrop

Markets have grown less forgiving. Investors are demanding clearer evidence that AI investments will translate into durable returns, while political and regulatory risks add new uncertainty.

Apple’s long track record of execution provides some reassurance. Yet even industry leaders are vulnerable to sentiment shifts when valuations are elevated and new risks emerge.

The recent pullback may prove temporary. But in an environment where AI expectations, regulatory scrutiny, and capital intensity intersect, patience appears thinner—and the margin for error narrower—than at any point in Apple’s recent rally.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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