Daily Crypto Signals: Bitcoin ETF Inflows Turn Positive, Ethereum Shorts Face $273M Squeeze
Bitcoin ETF net flows have turned positive over the past 30 days even as gold ETFs suffer record outflows, while analysts track early signs
Quick overview
- Bitcoin ETF net flows have turned positive, reversing a previous outflow trend, while gold ETFs are experiencing record outflows.
- Ethereum has surged back above $2,000, with traders heavily accumulating long positions targeting significant short liquidations.
- Institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies is increasing, highlighted by Aon's stablecoin experiment for insurance premiums.
- Regulatory scrutiny continues, as South Korea's Bithumb faces a potential suspension due to compliance issues.
Bitcoin BTC/USD ETF net flows have turned positive over the past 30 days even as gold XAU/USD ETFs suffer record outflows, while analysts track early signs of a capital rotation from safe-haven assets into crypto. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETH/USD climbed back above $2,000 as traders accumulated heavily leveraged long positions targeting a dense cluster of $273 million in short liquidations sitting just above the current price.
Crypto Market Developments
On Monday, the cryptocurrency market saw a flurry of institutional adoption, regulatory pressure, and positive technical indicators. Global insurance company Aon completed a stablecoin experiment that cleared insurance premiums for clients like Coinbase and Paxos, utilizing USDC on Ethereum and PayPal USD on Solana SOL/USD – a milestone that shows the rapid penetration of digital dollars into conventional financial infrastructure. The pilot follows the passing of the GENIUS stablecoin statute last year and suggests that tokenized payment rails are beginning to move beyond trial.
Regarding regulations, Bithumb, the nation’s second-biggest exchange, received a preliminary notice of a six-month partial suspension from South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit due to purported shortcomings in customer identification and anti-money laundering processes. Concerns over transactions with unregistered foreign virtual asset service providers were mentioned by the regulator. New users would not be able to remove digital assets from the platform if the suspension is finalized, and a penalties review is anticipated later in March.
Chris Giancarlo, a former chairman of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, offered his opinion on the current discussion surrounding legislation pertaining to the structure of the cryptocurrency market, contending that banks, not the cryptocurrency sector, are the businesses most vulnerable to regulatory uncertainty. Giancarlo stated on The Wolf of All Streets Podcast that while cryptocurrency builders will continue whether or not the Senate bill is passed, banks must have clear regulations before they can invest billions in new technological infrastructure. “The banks need this more than crypto,” he stated.
Bitcoin Back Above $69,000
As of Monday, Bitcoin was trading close to $69,150, and a notable difference in ETF flows between Bitcoin and gold is the main narrative influencing mood. Bitcoin ETF net flows reversed from a $1.9 billion outflow on February 6 to a $273 million inflow for the 30 days ending March 6, according to data from bold.report. The Bitcoin ETF balances in native units fluctuated between a net drop of 42,275 BTC and a net increase of 4,021 BTC throughout that time. According to analysts, this reversal separates actual accumulation from price fluctuations. As investors grabbed profits after gold’s historic 2025 rise, gold ETFs, which had drawn a record $24 billion in January and February combined, had the biggest single-day outflow in more than two years—$3 billion from GLD alone.
Analysts are currently keeping an eye on whether fluctuations in oil prices could result in further gains. The continuous US-Israel confrontation with Iran caused WTI crude to soar to $101 per barrel, a 55% gain in ten days and the biggest jump in history. Bitcoin averaged 20% gains during a four-week period after four similar oil spikes between 2020 and 2025, according to historical data. This suggests a potential target of $79,200 by month-end from the $66,000 level observed when the most recent oil rally started on February 28. But given Bitcoin’s 81% correlation with the Nasdaq 100, whether that historical pattern continues will probably depend on how long international tensions last and how they are resolved. In a December 2025 analysis, Fidelity Digital Assets analyst Chris Kuiper pointed out that gold and Bitcoin have traditionally outperformed one another. Given that gold had a 65% return last year, he speculated that Bitcoin would take the lead next.
Ethereum Bounces Back to $2,000
Following a weekend decline to $1,908, Ether surged back above the psychologically significant $2,000 threshold on Monday, sparking heavy activity in the derivatives market. According to CryptoQuant statistics, Ether’s projected leverage ratio hit a record 0.78, exceeding the previous high of 0.778 established on January 1, and 110,343 ETH moved into derivatives exchanges on March 7, the third-largest single-day jump of 2026. The leverage ratio measures how aggressively traders are leveraging borrowed cash by tracking open interest in relation to exchange reserves. A rating at record highs indicates that a cascade of liquidations is likely to amplify any persistent directional move.
A dense cluster of short positions slightly above the present price is being highlighted by the near-term technical situation. Approximately $273 million in cumulative short-liquidation leverage is centered at $2,030, according to CoinGlass liquidation map data. If this level is achieved, it may compel buybacks from overleveraged shorts and accelerate upside momentum. Ether is presently moving through a supply zone that was established late last week between $2,050 and $2,100. A clear break above that range with confirmation as support might pave the way for a move toward $2,150 and higher. ETH is also challenging a long-term ascending trendline that has served as support through several cycles, according to cryptocurrency analyst Cyril-DeFi. The $1,900–$2,000 range is a crucial structural level for figuring out the direction of the next big rise.
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