USD/JPY, Long or Short?

Looking at the hourly USD/JPY chart, you can see there is an opportunity for a buy trade right now in this forex pair. The hourly chart is


Looking at the hourly USD/JPY chart, you can see there is an opportunity for a buy trade right now in this forex pair. The hourly chart is oversold since stochastic is oversold, the trend is up and the 100 SMA (green) has been providing support previously, which is likely to do the same again.

Well, I was about to, but then I switched to the H4 chart and saw a contradicting picture. The H4 chart was overbought a while ago, and now it is headed lower.

The 50 SMA is a much safer place to go long from.

Besides that, the previous two candlesticks closed as upside down pins, which are reversing signals after an uptrend. The price has already turned lower, and it is still sliding, so I think I will wait until we reach the 50 SMA (yellow).

This moving average provided support and held the uptrend in place last week. By the time we get there, the price will likely be oversold as well. Almost forgot, the U.S. ISM manufacturing data is due soon, so we’ll sit that out, too before going long on USD/JPY.  

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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