Shorting the Pullback in USD/CAD Below the 100 SMA

USD/CAD retraced higher today, but the climb ended right at the 100 SMA where we decided to go short


[[USD/CAD]] surged around 15 cents higher during the first half of March, as crude Oil crashed down, following the outbreak of coronavirus in Europe and the failure by OPEC+ to reach a deal in cutting production. The CAD is closely correlated to Oil prices, so the crash in crude Oil sent the CAD lower and USD/CAD surging higher.

The upside got some extra momentum from the surge in the USD during that time, but the surge ended by March 20 and the USD retreated back down. Crude Oil started turning bullish after US WTI crude fell below $0 at some point, which gave some life to the CAD.

USD/CAD has retreated lower, closing at $39 last Friday but it has retraced back up today during the Asian and European sessions. The price climbed above 1.40 for a short while, but it reversed back down below the 100 SMA (green). This moving averages have been working as support and resistance before, so we decided to open a sell forex signal below it, since it rejected the price decisively. So, we are short on this pair now, waiting for the trend to turn bearish.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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