USD Jumps As CPI Consumer Inflation Beats Expectations Again

USD is higher again as CPI inflation comes above expectations, keeping FED rate hike odds up

Japan CPI inflation for August posted a 4 point jump

Yesterday we saw another high reading for the CPI (consumer price index) inflation report. Today markets were in anticipation of the CPI (consumer price index) report, which was released a while ago. Last month we saw a jump in the USD after the better-than-expected CPI inflation number and it kept the bullish momentum for weeks after that.

Today we saw another jump in the USD, as FED hike odds remain high after this. We were long on the USD before the move, and the USD/JPY signal closed in profit after the jump. We decided to open another buy BTC signal as this crypto fell after the inflation report.

US September 2022 Consumer Price Index Inflation Data

CPI September 2022

<div class="content-data__caption" data-v-18c51f26="">Note the re-acceleration of core</div>
  • September CPI YoY +8.2% vs +8.1% expected
  • August CPI YoY was +8.5%
  • September CPI MOM +0.4% vs +0.2% expected and 0.1% prior

Core CPI:

  • Core CPI YoY +6.5% vs 6.5% expected and 6.3% prior
  • Core CPI MoM +0.6% vs +0.5% expected and +0.6% prior

The Fed funds futures market was pricing in a terminal top at 4.65% in March just ahead of the data and that’s up to 4.84%. The market is now pricing in a 13% chance of 100 bps on Nov 2. There have been some huge moves in markets on these numbers with the dollar soaring. S&P 500 futures went from +40 to -60

USD/JPY Live Chart

USD/JPY
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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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