EUR/USD Slips Below Key Support – Can It Recover Above $1.1160?

EUR/USD has dropped below the critical $1.1160 support level, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. This move comes amid ongoing US dollar strength and weakening euro fundamentals, raising the risk of a broader downtrend.

Bearish Break Signals Further Downside

The EUR/USD pair has breached the $1.1160 support, a key psychological level that previously acted as a floor during multiple trading sessions. This breakdown is supported by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently sitting at $1.1284, which has turned into a significant resistance point. The bearish crossover on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, along with a deepening red histogram, confirms mounting selling pressure.

Key technical levels to watch include:

• Immediate support: $1.1076

• Next major support: $1.0984

• Immediate resistance: $1.1160

• Key resistance: $1.1284 (50-day EMA)

Traders should monitor these levels closely, as a sustained move below $1.1076 could open the door for a deeper correction toward $1.0984. Conversely, a break above the $1.1160 resistance could signal a potential reversal, targeting the 50-day EMA at $1.1284.

Fundamental Headwinds Pressure the Euro

The euro is under pressure due to a mix of dovish European Central Bank (ECB) commentary and economic uncertainty. ECB policymakers have hinted at possible rate cuts if inflation and growth data continue to disappoint. This has led to a more bearish outlook for the euro, especially as the US dollar gains strength amid ongoing US-China trade optimism.

In addition, the latest US inflation data suggests that the Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts, providing further support for the dollar. This macro backdrop adds to the downside risk for EUR/USD, as traders weigh the likelihood of a deeper pullback in the coming weeks.

Conclusion – Bearish Momentum Building

With the EUR/USD now trading below $1.1160, the technical picture points to further downside potential. The pair’s failure to hold this key support, combined with a bearish EMA structure and weakening euro fundamentals, suggests that traders should brace for increased volatility in the near term. Keep an eye on the $1.1076 support as a critical line in the sand, as a break below this level could accelerate selling pressure toward $1.0984.