Dow Jones Weekly Forecast: DJIA Rebound Builds Case for New Highs

Despite some early-week volatility, Dow Jones maintained strength, pointing toward new record highs as buyers remain in control.

Dow Faces Resistance Near Record Highs

Quick overview

  • Despite early-week volatility, the Dow Jones remains strong and is close to reaching new record highs.
  • U.S. equity markets ended positively, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting fresh record highs, while the Dow rebounded from a dip.
  • Sector rotation into transportation, raw materials, and small-cap stocks indicates growing investor confidence in the economic outlook.
  • Attention is now on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming remarks, which may influence market sentiment and potential rate cuts.

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Despite some early-week volatility, Dow Jones maintained strength, pointing toward new record highs as buyers remain in control.

Steady Strength Amid Shifting Market Tides

U.S. equity markets concluded last week on a mostly positive note, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite achieving fresh record highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, while finishing nearly flat, rebounded from a brief dip below 44,000 and remained within striking distancejust 1.5%of its all-time peak.

The Russell 2000, a barometer for small-cap sentiment, rose 0.37%, underscoring growing investor confidence across a broader swath of the economy. As the second half of 2025 kicks off, the market’s resilience points to a healthy underlying appetite for risk.

Dow Jones Chart Weekly – Buyers Not Letting Go

Despite headwinds from global trade tensions, last week’s gains were supported by sector rotation into areas such as transportation, raw materials, and small-cap stocks. These shifts indicate a deepening conviction in the economic outlook rather than a narrow tech-led surge.

Rebound from April’s Dip Gains Momentum

The Dow’s current trajectory traces back to its April bounce off the 200-week SMA, a technical support that has held firm through prior corrections. After a brief consolidation phase in May, upward momentum has resumed, helping the index claw back much of its Q1 losses. This rebound suggests market participants are positioning for continued growtheven in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty.

Powell in Focus as Investors Await Clarity

Looking ahead, the spotlight turns to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is scheduled to deliver key remarks later in the week. Traders and analysts alike are eager to parse his comments for signals about potential rate cuts and the central bank’s broader policy direction heading into Q4. Additionally, upcoming earnings season data could either validate current valuations or inject fresh volatility into equity markets.

With buying momentum still intact and resistance levels being tested, the Dow could soon follow its peer indices in reaching a new record highprovided economic data doesn’t trigger a sudden shift in sentiment.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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