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Forex Signals Brief for Aug 13: Trump Media, Lyell, Cisco Earnings and Stocks in Focus
Key Earnings Announcements to Watch today: Cisco Systems, Trump Media & Technology Group, and Lyell Immunopharma
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Last updated: Wednesday, August 13, 2025
Quick overview
- Key earnings announcements today include Cisco Systems, Trump Media & Technology Group, and Lyell Immunopharma, which will influence investor sentiment across various sectors.
- July's U.S. inflation data showed a year-over-year increase of 2.7%, slightly below expectations, while core CPI rose 3.1%, the highest since February.
- Financial markets reacted positively to the inflation report, with expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September rising to nearly 90%.
- Crude oil futures fell sharply, closing below $63, indicating continued downward pressure on prices.
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Key Earnings Announcements to Watch today: Cisco Systems, Trump Media & Technology Group, and Lyell Immunopharma
July 2025 U.S. Inflation Data Shows Mixed Signals
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data revealed that headline inflation rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly below the 2.8% forecast. Month-over-month, prices increased by 0.2%, matching expectations. However, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, grew 0.3% monthly — the largest increase in six months — and 3.1% annually, surpassing forecasts and marking its highest level since February. This core inflation rise was driven mainly by increased costs in services such as housing, healthcare, travel, and dentistry. Meanwhile, food prices remained steady, and energy prices, particularly gasoline, declined, helping to moderate overall inflation. Analysts noted that tariffs continue to have only a minor impact on inflation, given the modest price increases in affected goods.
Market Reaction and Fed Rate Expectations
The inflation report had a positive effect on financial markets. Investors ramped up expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September, with markets now pricing in nearly a 90% probability. Key stock indices responded strongly, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closing at all-time highs and the Russell 2000 surging by nearly 3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.10%, the S&P gained 1.13%, NASDAQ rose 1.39%, and the Russell 2000 advanced 2.99%.
Updates on U.S. Economic and Fiscal News
Earlier comments by Antoni were interrupted after the White House announced that the monthly jobs report will now be released on a monthly basis. The U.S. federal budget deficit expanded beyond expectations, reaching -$291 billion, surpassing the forecasted -$250 billion. Despite collecting $29.6 billion in tariff revenue for July, the White House has not issued any statements regarding the tariff situation.
Energy Market Movements
Crude oil futures fell sharply, closing below a recent swing low of $63.61 and dipping under the 100-hour moving average of $64.82. The current price stands at $63.07. Sustained trading below the 100-hour moving average would indicate continued downward pressure on oil prices.
Key Market Events for Today
The upcoming earnings announcements from Cisco Systems, Trump Media & Technology Group, and Lyell Immunopharma will provide important signals across diverse sectors—from established tech infrastructure to emerging media platforms and cutting-edge biotech. Cisco’s near-term profitability, Trump Media’s operational outlook, and Lyell’s innovation pipeline updates will collectively shape investor sentiment and sector momentum heading into the final quarter of 2025.
Cisco Systems, Inc. (Q4 2025 Earnings)
- Scheduled to report after market close (AMC).
- Expected earnings per share (EPS) estimate: $0.98.
- Cisco’s results will be closely monitored for insights into the technology sector’s health, especially amid evolving IT infrastructure demand.
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (Q2 2025 Earnings
- Also reporting AMC.
- No EPS estimate publicly available.
- As a high-profile media and technology venture, its earnings will attract attention from investors assessing the company’s growth trajectory and strategic outlook.
Lyell Immunopharma, Inc. (Q2 2025 Earnings)
- Reporting after market close (AMC).
- EPS estimate of -$2.30, reflecting expected losses.
- Investors will focus on Lyell’s progress in immunotherapy development and any updates on clinical trials or pipeline advancements.
Last week, markets were quite volatile once, with gold retreating and then bouncing to finish the week close to $4,000 but yesterday it retreated again. EUR/USD continued the upward move toward 1.17, while main indices closed higher. The moves weren’t too big though, and we opened 35 trading signals in total, finishing the week with 23 winning signals and 12 losing ones.
Gold Rejected at $3,400 Again
Gold prices remain firm just below all-time highs after touching $3,500 an ounce in late April. Following last week’s FOMC meeting, which left interest rates unchanged, XAU/USD briefly dipped to $3,268 but quickly recovered on support from its 20-week simple moving average and softer US labor data. Bulls are now eyeing a break above the $3,450–$3,500 zone.
USD/JPY Volatility Highlights Fed–BoJ Divergence
The dollar briefly surged above ¥150 earlier this week, driven by global rate differentials and Japanese capital flows, before retreating by roughly 4 yen after weaker-than-expected US jobs data prompted profit-taking and reassessment of Fed policy bets.
USD/JPY – Weekly Chart
Cryptocurrency Update
Bitcoin Retests the highs above $122K and Fails
Cryptocurrencies continue to display resilience, with bitcoin bouncing sharply from below $112,000 to approach record levels above $122,000. Support from the 50-day SMA has helped solidify the $112K region as a key technical floor, fueling renewed bullish momentum. Yesterday BTC climbed above $122K but failed to make a new record high, coming back down below $120 where it closed the day.
BTC/USD – Weekly chart
Ethereum’s Rally to Multi-Year Highs
Ethereum (ETH) has staged a sharp comeback after lagging behind Bitcoin and XRP earlier in the year. Over the weekend, ETH crossed $4,300 — its highest level since 2021 — surpassing the highs of 2024. Strong institutional interest and bullish technicals suggest a realistic shot at challenging its all-time high of $4,860. While some bearish sentiment lingers, retail enthusiasm is now a key driver of the rally.
ETH/USD – Daily Chart
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Skerdian Meta
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Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst.
Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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